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News
Box Office Guru Preview: Chihuahua to Overtake Multiplexes
A plethora of other films will compete for the weekend box office crown.
by Gitesh Pandya | October 02, 2008
Discuss Article
Page | 1 2

Hollywood kicks off the fourth quarter with a stampede of new releases that will test the elasticity of the marketplace. Ambulances are already on standby to rush the high number of casualties off to local video stores. Seven films open or expand into 800 or more theaters each while an eighth picture debuts in more than 500 locations still hoping to reach moviegoers from coast to coast. Leading the way and likely to post solid results are Disney's family comedy Beverly Hills Chihuahua and Sony's teen saga Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist. The rest of the menu will struggle to pick up the remaining scraps during a time when overall box office is not too busy to begin with.

The canine comedy Beverly Hills Chihuahua looks to dominate the multiplexes this weekend with Disney generating plenty of interest with kids and parents. The PG-rated tale of a pampered dog lost on the mean streets of Mexico features voices from Drew Barrymore, Andy Garcia, George Lopez, and Cheech Marin. Piper Perabo and Jamie Lee Curtis take up the human roles. A classic fish-out-of-water story coupled with the always bankable talking-animal formula means plenty of dough will be rolling in for this one. Competition is minimal with Igor in its third session being the only other choice for families right now. In fact there hasn't been a hit comedy for children since June's WALL•E so demand is intense. The top kidpic openings during the September-October corridor over the last three years have been $19.1M for Corpse Bride in 2005, $23.6M for Open Season in 2006, and $23M for The Game Plan in 2007. Opening in 3,215 theaters, Beverly Hills Chihuahua should exceed those films. A debut of about $26M could result this weekend.


Piper Perabo, Jamie Lee Curtis and friend in Beverly Hills Chihuahua

Set to attract a fair share of teens this weekend is the romantic comedy Nick & Norah's Infinite Playlist starring Michael Cera and Kat Dennings. Cera's stock price skyrocketed last year with Superbad and Juno which grossed a combined $265M. Here he safely is back in his zone which should register well with teens and young adults. Shia LaBeouf's got the only other major film for the under-25 set so direct competition will be light. That puts Nick in a position to make it into the top three this weekend and post a solid average. Sony's marketing push has been commendable and the trailer is exciting the target audience. Plus the PG-13 rating opens the door to younger teens. As the frame's second widest opener, Nick and Norah bows in about 2,300 locations and might gross around $13M this weekend.


Michael Cera and Kat Dennings in Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist

Backed by lukewarm reviews, Miramax's Blindness hits theaters with some buzz but will still face an uphill battle. The R-rated film about an epidemic that takes away a victim's sight stars Julianne Moore, Mark Ruffalo, and Danny Glover with Brazil's Fernando Meirelles directing. The opening night selection at this year's Cannes now enters the North American commercial market in search of serious adults looking for arthouse thrills. The lack of enthusiasm from critics will hurt the prospects for Blindness as will the abundance of options for the 30-plus crowd. An intriguing concept and the presence of indie film heavyweights will help, but pulling in business will still not be easy. Opening in 1,690 theaters, Blindness might debut with roughly $6M.


Julianne Moore and Alice Braga in Blindness

A British celebrity journalist enters the world of high society at a New York magazine in the new comedy How to Lose Friends and Alienate People. Simon Pegg, Kirsten Dunst, Megan Fox, and Jeff Bridges star in the R-rated MGM release. Pegg has built up a small cult following on this side of the pond with films like Shaun of the Dead and Hot Fuzz, but his starpower has not reached the heights where tons of ticket buyers come running to his next role. Fox's return to the big screen after last year's smash Transformers could score some points with young men though. Reviews have been mixed and a wide assortment of competing comedies will split the audience. Landing in 1,750 sites, a debut of about $5M could result.


Simon Pegg in How to Lose Friends and Alienate People

The year has been light on biopics but Greg Kinnear plans to change that with Flash of Genius, the true story of the inventor of the intermittent windshield wiper and his long battle with the automotive industry for recognition of his work. The PG-13 film will target adults looking for an underdog story, however starpower is lacking and the subject matter is a tough sell. Reviews have been good but not glowing. Universal is not going very wide so the film's potential will be curtailed but its average may be respectable. Debuting in roughly 1,000 playdates, Flash of Genius could collect about $3M this weekend.


Greg Kinnear in Flash of Genius

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Comments (1-16 of 16 posts) | Reply
jokerboy1991
jokerboy1991 writes:
on Oct 02 2008 05:59 PM

Go RELIGULOUS!

(Reply to this)
Speaker for the Films
Speaker for the Films writes:
on Oct 02 2008 07:22 PM

I will see Nick and Nohah


(Reply to this)
IMAmoose24
IMAmoose24 writes:
on Oct 02 2008 07:26 PM

Would like to see Flash of Genius, but since The Dark Knight is still at my imax, i'll be seeing that instead for, what is it, gotta be close to a dozen times by now?

(Reply to this)
THExDarkness666
THExDarkness666 writes:
on Oct 02 2008 08:39 PM

might go see nick and nora, nothing else is catching my eye much

(Reply to this)
vashfanatic
vashfanatic writes:
on Oct 02 2008 09:22 PM

In reply to this comment (#2058560)
very few documentaries score big at the box office; i can only think of March of the Penguins and An Inconvenient Truth (offer any others if you can think of them). I rarely watch documentaries on the big screen; they don't usually lose much in the transfer to DVD.

I'd guess either Chihuahua or Nick & Nora to take the top spot.


(Reply to this)
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe writes:
on Oct 02 2008 09:33 PM

Yep, when the top expectant grossing film is based on

talking Chihuahuas, then you know to say home. I wam interesting in that

Nick and Norah movie only due to the hotness of Kat Dennings, damn she

turns me on. Also, I'm curious into finding if the typical Michael Cera's

character has already grown old on me. Please, Cera show everyone you

can actually act and not just play the same character in each and every

movie. Likewise, I want to see that Flash of Genius movie but fear I'll have

to wait until it shows on cable. Finally, best of luck to Kirk Cameron's

uplifting little film that is far superior than some of the crap opening this

weekend.




P.S. Joker, I regard you as a friend and a respected peer, but in all honesty

please don't promote either of these awful political movies. Neither seem

all that good and the critics tend to agree that you should see the freakin

Chihuahua movie instead. Now, if i was forced to see either, I would see

American Carol just because I think if anyone deserves humilation its that

fat bastard, Michael Moore & how can I not see a movie starring a Farrley

brother? So, I guess American Carol is the better of the two stinkers. Plus,

Bill Maher is an *******.


(Reply to this)
vashfanatic
vashfanatic writes:
on Oct 03 2008 06:11 AM

In reply to this comment (#2058796)
Actually, at this point "Chihuahua" is doing pretty badly; in fact, he seems to have gotten the reviews mixed on it at "Nick and Nora;" the first is in the 40s and the latter in the 70s.

AS for "Religulous," most of the positive reviews have tended to say it really isn't a documentary, just a chance for Maher to do a long-running riff on how he finds religion silly (or parts of religion he finds silly; still not clear on this yet). Negative reviews tend to say he makes some very good points, but is kind of a **** about it. Like I say, I'll probably rent it.


(Reply to this)
jokerboy1991
jokerboy1991 writes:
on Oct 03 2008 08:29 AM

In reply to this comment (#2058796)
Thank u for your kind words, but come on its Bill Maher, he is too AWESOME! I'm seeing it today I gotta! I'm also strangely thinking about How to Lose friends and Alienate people since EBERT gave it ***1/2 and Simon Pegg is awesome and The Dude is in it, and that talentless but hot Megan Fox!

(Reply to this)
unbreakable_samurai
unbreakable_samurai writes:
on Oct 03 2008 11:23 AM

I have to see Appaloosa, might check out Nick also.

(Reply to this)
vitajex
vitajex writes:
on Oct 03 2008 12:21 PM

I used to like Bill Maher quite a bit, and I actually agree with 80% or so of his views. However, my admiration has paled greatly as he gets older and becomes more of a crotchety old man, standing on his front porch calling every paperboy that passes by an idiot and screaming that "the 'Publicans stole my meds" (which they did, but is beside the point). He is snide, condescending, rude and often substitutes vitriole for humor.

(Reply to this)
diablo-wy
diablo-wy writes:
on Oct 03 2008 12:50 PM

Very excited about An American Carol....it's about time the Hollywood left is called out for who/what they are; and have always been a fan of Zucker since the classic Airplane. Apaloosa looks good, hope it will be coming my way soon. Bill Maher is an idiot, enough said.

(Reply to this)
jokerboy1991
jokerboy1991 writes:
on Oct 03 2008 09:44 PM

Religulous was really good, definitely at par with Borat even better I think. I might either say Appaloosa or How to lose friends and alienate people tomorrow. Shame about BLINDNESS, great director, City of God is a masterpiece, guess I'm gonna see what went wrong with it on video.

(Reply to this)
screwhead100
screwhead100 writes:
on Oct 05 2008 02:22 AM

joker i agree with u, Religulous was awesome!!

(Reply to this)
Dan Solo
Dan Solo writes:
on Oct 05 2008 10:10 AM

i hate movies

(Reply to this)
Relapse
Relapse writes:
on Oct 05 2008 05:05 PM

Why can't Bill Maher just respect that everybody has their own beliefs? Just because he hates religion doesn't mean it should be mocked. Actually, I think I may agree with him on certain points but I still respect other peoples' beliefs. I think he was touched as a child.

(Reply to this)
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe writes:
on Oct 05 2008 06:45 PM

In reply to this comment (#2064416)
Bravo, Relapse, Bravo. I consistantly ask this question and

wonder why no stands up to Maher's hateful speech?I have this strange idea

of respecting all people's beliefs and its sad this idiot gets attention,

and acclaim for simple hate speech. Still, he is the biggest joke of all!

Thank you for all those who agredd with me... and for those who didn't, I

wonder how you would feel if something you hold dear - that is vital to

someone's life- was openly mocked and disrespected?


(Reply to this)
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