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News / Columns / Box Office
Box Office Guru Wrapup: HSM3 Soars to Dazzling $42M Opening
Jigsaw defeated by young singing whippersnappers.
by Gitesh Pandya | October 26, 2008
Discuss Article

Recession be damned! Movie fans went on a spending spree at North American multiplexes as a pair of new sequels pumped over $72M into cash registers driving the overall marketplace to the biggest October weekend in box office history. Disney's High School Musical 3: Senior Year delivered a sensational opening in first place and was followed in second by a solid debut for the horror staple Saw V which proved once again to be the genre's most dependable franchise. Both hits tapped into built-in audiences thanks to their strong brands, even though the crowds could not have been more different. Ticket sales were up by a stunning 40% or more when compared to the corresponding frames from the past few years proving that the right product will continue to draw large audiences into movie theaters.

Kids and parents lined up in massive numbers to enjoy the singing and dancing extravaganza High School Musical 3 which launched with dazzling results grossing an estimated $42M in its first weekend of release. Averaging a fantastic $11,598 from 3,623 locations, the G-rated tale of squeaky clean Albuquerque teens, who all just happen to carry a tune really well, delivered the third largest October bow ever trailing just Scary Movie 3 ($48.1M in 2003) and Shark Tale ($47.6M in 2004) and the highest ever for a musical beating the $27.8M of July's Mamma Mia! The studio developed the brand on the Disney Channel with two made-for-television movies that became pop culture behemoths and took a leap with the third installment by having it graduate to the big screen where Mouse House execs hoped the fans would follow it to. And follow they did.

 


The fan base turned out in droves on Friday with a stellar $16.9M. Sales fell by 9% to $15.3M on Saturday indicating how intense demand was to see HSM3 on the first day. Online ticketing sites reported brisk advance sales for weeks. Disney is estimating a Sunday drop of 36% to $9.8M. With a reported budget of only $13M, the Wildcats tale is well on its way to becoming a cash cow especially when international box office and home video sales are bundled in. The franchise is made for repeat viewing which may not happen much at the box office given ticket prices for each sitting, but should surely be a factor on DVD where young fans can watch Zac Efron and crew over and over again. Musicals typically sell well overseas and even an all-American one like Senior Year already has a global fan base waiting to drop some Euros and Yen. Over the weekend, international ticket buyers in 22 markets spent an estimated $40M giving Musical a global debut of $82M with much more to go.

For the first time since the last presidential election season, a Saw film did not open at number one on the weekend before Halloween. Instead, the latest chapter in the wildly successful franchise Saw V settled for the runnerup spot but proved that the series is still alive and well the fifth time around with an estimated $30.5M in ticket sales this weekend. Averaging a brutal $9,965 from 3,060 sites, the R-rated torturefest dipped only a scant amount from debuts of its recent predecessors. The last four Saw films have bowed in the $30-34M range and are all among the top ten October openings of all-time. The weekend gross for part five was extremely frontloaded with Friday bowing to a gruesome $14.2M, Saturday tumbling a troubling 30% to $9.9M, and Sunday being estimated to fall 35% to $6.4M. The five Saw films have now grossed a combined $316.2M domestically with the franchise likely to approach $350M by the time the new installment leaves theaters, or $70M per pic before overseas and worldwide video revenues are added to the mix.

 


Led by the HSM and Saw sequels, ticket sales for the Top 20 soared to an estimated $129M. If estimates hold, it will top the $125.2M from the exact same frame in 2003 when Scary Movie 3 broke the all-time October opening record and led the overall marketplace to the strongest weekend ever for the month. Admissions were still higher five years ago though, with about 21 million stubs sold for the Top 20 then compared to approximately 18 million this weekend.

Mark Wahlberg's video game flick Max Payne dropped from first to third this weekend bringing in an estimated $7.6M. That represented a decline of 57% which was normal for this type of film. With $29.7M in the bank after ten days, the $35M Fox release looks to finish its domestic run with around $45M.


Despite the powerful launch of the studio's HSM3, Disney still fared very well with the hit Beverly Hills Chihuahua which slipped 40% to an estimated $6.9M. Sitting in fourth place in its fourth session, the G-rated family comedy upped its cume to a robust $78.1M.

Opening with weak results in fifth place was the police corruption drama Pride and Glory which bowed to an estimated $6.3M from 2,585 sites. Averaging a lackluster $2,447 per venue, the Edward Norton and Colin Farrell actioner was panned by critics and sat on the shelf for some time before Warner Bros. put the film out.

 



A pair of sophomores followed. Fox Searchlight's Queen Latifah-Dakota Fanning pic The Secret Life of Bees dropped a moderate 44% to an estimated $5.9M and upped its ten-day tally to $19.2M. The presidential flick W. suffered a larger decline dropping 49% to an estimated $5.3M for Lionsgate putting the sum at $18.8M. Final grosses should reach roughly $34M and $30M, respectively.

The Paramount hit Eagle Eye slipped only 27% to an estimated $5.1M and raised its total to $88M. Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe saw their political thriller Body of Lies gross an estimated $4.1M, off 40%, for a $30.9M cume. Rounding out the top ten was the horror title Quarantine which got butchered by Saw V's arrival collecting an estimated $2.6M, down 58%, for $28.8M to date.


Generating lots of heat in limited release was Universal's Angelina Jolie starrer Changeling which bowed in only 15 theaters but grossed an estimated $502,000 for a scorching $33,467 average. Directed by Clint Eastwood, the R-rated true tale of a woman whose son disappears in 1920s California earned mixed reviews from critics. The film's big challenge will come this Friday when it expands nationwide into over 1,800 theaters.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $116.4M which was up a sturdy 43% from last year when Saw IV opened in the top spot with $31.8M; and up 40% from 2006 when Saw III debuted at number one with $33.6M.

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Comments (1-20 of 34 posts) | Reply
FILMCZY
FILMCZY writes:
on Oct 26 2008 07:00 PM

Well it goes without saying that HSM3 and the Saw films need to hook-up: now that the high school kids are graduating, what better way to meet Jigsaw. Just think of the possibilities of a musical Saw film...torture traps be damned!!!

(Reply to this)
ledawg
ledawg writes:
on Oct 26 2008 07:19 PM

Can't you see Billy the Puppet getting his own song with Pigmask. Seriously, both series stink, but together, fun musical torture porn. I haven't seen a movie in theaters since "The Dark Knight", and "Quantom of Solae can't come soon enough.

(Reply to this)
tomwaitsjr
tomwaitsjr writes:
on Oct 26 2008 07:19 PM

Musical saw film will be coming out soon. It's called REPO: The GEnetic Opera, also from Lionsgate.

and like Saw, it looks awful.


(Reply to this)
utkipp1
utkipp1 writes:
on Oct 26 2008 07:24 PM

I would pay money to see Zack Effron's fruity a$$ getting tortured to death. That or the hispanic and white chicks from HSM naked... oh yeah, I said it.

(Reply to this)
ledawg
ledawg writes:
on Oct 26 2008 07:41 PM

Okay utkipp, let's not go to far. But tomwaitsjr, I totally agree.

(Reply to this)
vashfanatic
vashfanatic writes:
on Oct 26 2008 08:06 PM

In reply to this comment (#2097436)
I cannot agree more. Late summer/early fall has been positively dismal this year.

(Reply to this)
Richard_fitzwell
Richard_fitzwell writes:
on Oct 26 2008 08:48 PM

Well I wonder how long until we hear that the 4th one is in production. I'm sure the writers will find some way to make sure that they all the kids end up at the same college some how. And utkipp1...there's been a pic of that hispanic chick naked floating around on the net for a while now. Got her into a bit of trouble.

(Reply to this)
ledawg
ledawg writes:
on Oct 26 2008 09:16 PM

Late summer/early fall bad "this" year. it's boring every year if you ask me. And no way I'm listening to you Richard_fitzwell... Well look at the time GOTTA GO!

(Reply to this)
jokerboy1991
jokerboy1991 writes:
on Oct 26 2008 09:50 PM

Every one go look up Saw School Musical on youtube, its an awesome trailer. It is seriously for real, its funny as hell.

(Reply to this)
wordweaver12
wordweaver12 writes:
on Oct 26 2008 09:55 PM

Squeaky clean High school kids? yeah right. Those "kids" are banging the sh*t out of each other when the cameras are not rolling. I sure didn't take naked pictures of myself and sent to my partner when I was 15. They are all banging themselves, Vanessa, Ashley, Lucas, Monique all of them. I'm sure Corbin gave Zac in the a** a couple of times and banged the sh*t outta him....LOL...

On a serious note, I am glad "W" is tanking and tanking every week. Note to Mr. Stone, the next time you want to do a biopic, actually take time to map out a realistic structure and be serious about it. Casting Elizabeth Banks as Laura Bush was already a hint on the demise that would befall your movie. One of the many loopholes you should have rectified. Nevertheless, you are an ingenious director but after Alexander and then this "W" mess, one might think your creative is mimicking the economy and taking its own recession.


(Reply to this)
ZiGyStRdUsT
ZiGyStRdUsT writes:
on Oct 26 2008 10:29 PM

you know, I think Alexander gets unnecessary bashing. It wasn't THAT bad.

(Reply to this)
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe
CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe writes:
on Oct 26 2008 11:03 PM

In reply to this comment (#2097813)
Oh yes it was... The only thing rhat saves Alexander from all

time shame is two words- Rosario Dawson. For those who suffer throught that

Stone biopic it was the lone saving grace. And by the way, I didn't think

W. was that bad and I don't think its "tankng" per se but underperforming ;)

Still, the big news is the twin bill disgrace headlining the box office. In

a way, Saw V success is even more terrifying considering how I do believe

people are actually making it into some unholy tradition! Jeez, its like

Jigsaw is that ex who we can't resist no matter how many times she gives us

that burning feeling below ;) Damn it people, we need to end this

relationship right now or else!


(Reply to this)
blattman
blattman writes:
on Oct 27 2008 12:27 AM

I've been looking forward to Repo. The scenes I have seen are great and I love (well most of )cast. It could be awesome or tank, but I at least want to check it out before I judge it by the company releasing it.
As for HSM and Saw, they are what they are, fun for their genre. The saw movies are just violent horror, not torture porn. Most people are getting grossed out, not jacking off. Please, there is a subtle difference.


(Reply to this)
smi1ey
smi1ey writes:
on Oct 27 2008 01:06 AM

i just don't get why people are so infatuated with torture porn nowadays. i mean, the first saw actually had that crazy ending, which is the only reason i saw it, and i was impressed. but after seeing the second one and seeing what the series was turning into, i haven't seen another. is it really that entertaining to watch others suffer? maybe by doing so it makes us feel better about our own pathetic existence.

uh oh, better stop before i get too emo lol


(Reply to this)
AntonChigurh
AntonChigurh writes:
on Oct 27 2008 01:40 AM

It was a lousy selection this week as was last week. But I might see both RocknRolla and Changeling on halloween because they both get a wide release, so it schould be a solid week at the movie's for me.

(Reply to this)
Neonknight
Neonknight writes:
on Oct 27 2008 02:26 AM

HSM Got a good rating and the number 1 spot? Signs of the apocalypse, my friends :|

(Reply to this)
Bloody Mathias
Bloody Mathias writes:
on Oct 27 2008 05:55 AM

Here comes HSM 4,5,6,7,....... please God, kill me now.

(Reply to this)
Gimy
Gimy writes:
on Oct 27 2008 06:18 AM

Saw...sucked. and not the sucking it usually has where it scares only wannabe horror fans...but sucked as in...ZZZZZzzzzzzz. ok, we get it. you want to justify making a sequel EVERY year by trying to write something creative. fact is, Saw 5 isn't even a horror...its a thriller. they spent 80 minutes of the movie explaining the tie-ins from previous movies and it was just boring. i actually almost fell asleep. i wanted to go see a sh3tty horror flick and laugh at the bad acting, bad dialogue, bad everything. but this was just a whole new kind of bad. boring...bad.

high school musical looks so g@y it should come with a lubed condom and a free HIV test. i can deal with musicals, i even love a few of the classics... but even richard simmons would be all "seriously guys, NOBODY would sing a tune while in bounding a pass in basketball...c'mon now". thats just too much singin'.


(Reply to this)
Almost.Famous
Almost.Famous writes:
on Oct 27 2008 06:39 AM

Theres only 1 movie on the whole yop 10 thats fresh. And its High School Musical. This is a very sad day.

(Reply to this)
ledawg
ledawg writes:
on Oct 27 2008 08:49 AM

May I mention that we all know that his constant singing and Clay Aiken appearence could make way for sequel where he comes out and confesses.

(Reply to this)
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