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Box Office Guru Wrapup: Moviegoers Obsessed with Interracial Catfight

Earth and Fighting open strongly.

Singer-actress Beyoncé Knowles crushed the competition with a sizzling opening for her new romantic thriller Obsessed which powered well past expectations to lead the North American box office over the final weekend before the much-anticipated start of the summer movie season. Also performing well were two other new releases - the Channing Tatum drama Fighting and the nature documentary Earth. Not drawing big crowds was the star-combo of Robert Downey Jr. and Jamie Foxx in The Soloist which bowed in fourth place. Most holdovers fell sharply losing 50% or more of their business, but the top ten hit the $100M mark surging more than 30% ahead of last year's levels ending a record April and a busy spring with a bang.



Sony's Screen Gems unit tempted audiences with a well-marketed thriller and got off to an explosive start with Obsessed which grossed an estimated $28.5M in its first weekend in theaters. Busting into 2,514 locations, the PG-13 pic averaged a steamy $11,337 per site and shot higher than pre-release forecasts. The hit film stars Knowles and Idris Elba as a happily married couple until a sexy young office worker (Ali Larter) begins to stalk the husband. The prospect of a woman-on-woman fight piqued the interest of moviegoers and the collision of a black couple and a white seductress also gave the film a must-see edge.

Obsessed scored the seventh largest opening ever for the month of April and was a new career high for Knowles when in a lead role. It was also the second best in company history for Screen Gems behind the $30.1M of 2005's The Exorcism of Emily Rose. Females drove the business for Obsessed making up 58% of the crowd, according to studio research, while the age range was broad with 51% being over 25. A modest $20M budget means Sony has yet another profitable hit on its hands.



Obsessed also gave the film industry its eighth consecutive weekend with a $20M+ opening capping off a stellar four-month start to 2009. Over the first 17 weeks of the year, the number of movies opening in wide release dropped 9% (51 vs. 56 last year). However, studios were able to reduce the clutter that often causes many pics to fail allowing for more marketing focus on each title. As a result, box office is up 16% and admissions are up 14%. Plus the number of $20M+ openers rose from 11 last year to 18 this year while the amount of films crossing the $100M mark skyrocketed from just one in 2008 to six in the current year. The summer box office could not have asked for more momentum as it gets underway especially since the massive April crowds have been treated to trailers and posters for the upcoming season's big crop of blockbusters.

Zac Efron's high school comedy 17 Again dropped from first to second place and fell by an understandable 51% to an estimated $11.7M. With a solid $40M in ten days, the PG-13 hit looks headed for a finish of $65-70M proving that the teen heartthrob of the small screen can draw paying crowds to the multiplexes even outside of a franchise.



Debuting in third was Channing Tatum's young adult drama Fighting which punched up an estimated $11.4M in its opening weekend. The Rogue Pictures film was released by Universal and averaged a solid $4,955 from 2,309 venues. Tatum rose to fame in 2006 with the dance drama Step Up but has been mostly absent from the box office since then, a risky move considering the rapidly shifting tastes of young people. Rated PG-13, Fighting catered to teens and young adults with males excited by the fights and females coming in for the hunky lead actor. Studio research showed that males made up 58% of the audience while 66% were under 25.

Faring worst among the weekend's three new fictional wide releases was the violinist drama The Soloist which debuted to an estimated $9.7M from 2,024 theaters. The Paramount release did average a respectable $4,800 per theater, but the PG-13 pic starring Robert Downey Jr. and Jamie Foxx failed to make much of a dent in the overall marketplace. Reviews were mixed which may have sent moviegoers elsewhere and the story of a journalist who bonds with a genius musician who happens to be homeless did little to excite the public. Even the casting of two popular Oscar-caliber actors couldn't push the pic into double-digit territory. The Soloist reportedly cost $60M to produce, a tough number to recoup especially given the film's limited appeal abroad.



The animal documentary Earth enjoyed a robust debut grossing an estimated $8.6M in its first weekend of play. The G-rated tale following the stories of three sets of God's creatures averaged a healthy $4,742 from 1,804 locations. Rarely are documentaries given a nationwide release in the first weekend but Disney used Wednesday's Earth Day as a launching pad midweek and wound up with a stellar $14.2M over the five-day debut period. James Earl Jones narrated the film which earned glowing reviews. With the summer movie season unleashing a string of violent action films, Earth could enjoy a promising road ahead if it can connect with parents of smaller children looking for fun and peaceful entertainment. Hollywood has little to offer that lucrative segment of the audience until late May when Fox unleashes Night at the Museum 2 and Disney offers up Pixar's Up.

In its fifth weekend, the animated smash Monsters vs. Aliens slipped 36% to an estimated $8.5M boosting the total to $174.8M to date. The year's top-grossing film is from DreamWorks and Paramount. Universal's conspiracy thriller State of Play dropped a troubling 51% in its second weekend to an estimated $6.9M bringing the ten-day total to a mere $25.1M. Budgeted at $60M, the Russell Crowe-Ben Affleck starrer should finish up with a disappointing domestic take of around $40M despite positive reviews from critics. State joins Soloist as the latest star-driven dramas targeting mature adults that are failing to find big audiences this year following The International and Duplicity. All will end up in the $25-45M range which is not what studios were hoping for when those large star salaries were negotiated.



Hannah Montana The Movie followed with an estimated $6.4M, down 53%, giving Disney a solid $65.6M after 17 days. Falling 49% in its fourth lap was Fast & Furious which nabbed an estimated $6.1M pumping up Universal's total to $145.2M edging past the $144.5M of 2001's The Fast and the Furious to become the top-grossing installment of the four-pic franchise. The original Paul Walker-Vin Diesel pairing sold more tickets though. Adjusted for today's ticket prices, the cumes would be $186M for the first Furious, $154M for 2003's 2 Fast 2 Furious, $145M for the new Fast, and $70M for 2006's The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift. Overseas, the latest street-racing pic banked an estimated $15.2M from 59 territories to propel the international take to $170M and the global gross to a stunning $315M and counting.

April's other action sequel aimed at young men is running out of gas quickly. Jason Statham's Crank High Voltage collapsed by 66% in its second weekend following its lackluster opening and grossed an estimated $2.4M. With only $11.5M in ten days, a weak final gross of roughly $15M seems likely. The first Crank took in $27.8M in 2006. Lionsgate distributed both installments.



The top ten films grossed an estimated $100.1M which was up 32% from last year when Baby Mama opened in the top spot with $17.4M; and up a scorching 76% from 2007 when Disturbia stayed at number one for a third weekend with $9M.

tomwaitsjrHAPPYICONOCLAST

tomwaitsjrHAPPYICONOCLAST on 04-26-2009 07:43 PM

I was SO wrong about Obsessed. I didn't think it would even crack the $10 million mark. Is it that Beyonce is that popular? Is it that it's a PG-13 film that advertised itself like soft porn?

Oh well. . .

Andrew K.

Andrew K. on 04-27-2009 12:35 PM

I am shocked as well...Your questions seem spot on...I just wish I knew who had the answers! Very weird.

HectorMoran91

HectorMoran91 on 04-26-2009 07:48 PM

Well we can look at it this way, this weekend the Summer Movie Season starts.

Chris B.

Chris B. on 04-26-2009 08:01 PM

sad to see the "smart" movies like state of play and duplicity do bad at the b.o. i guess us americans are getting dumber by the year or something. nothing but big explosions and special effects with a small side order of plot and character development. but i guess count me in for that because i'd rather see explosions on the big screen rather than my little t.v. at home lol.

jokerboy1991

jokerboy1991 on 04-26-2009 08:01 PM

Too bad for Crank 2, it was so much fun. I'm expecting 75 million for Wolverine next weekend, then it will probably have weak legs, I don't see it getting that much over the 200 million mark. Bring on the Trek!

Moviemaniack1993

Moviemaniack1993 on 04-26-2009 08:01 PM

I told you in the Box Office Guru Preview blog. Obsessed will take the number one spot and people said, "no no, The Soloist will definitely be number one this weekend." It was barley marketed and no teenager would pay to see that. Obsessed was marketed well and I could just tell it was going to be big. I knew it would do better than projected.

Playboy Slim

Playboy Slim on 04-26-2009 08:40 PM

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! WHAT ARE YOU SMOKING AMERICA?!?! When you make movies like "Obsessed" number one at the box-office, WHAT MESSAGE ARE YOU SENDING TO HOLLYWOOD?!?!?!

"Oh, movies don't have to be screened in advance for critics, people will see it anyway."

"Oh, movies can be total, total, TOTAL, crap, with a pop singers being leads, and crazy a$s plots, they don't care, they'll pay for anything."

THANK YOU, WHO EVER SAW "OBSESSED"! Now Hollywood knows that you're easier to play than "Pong"! This is ALMOST as bad as "Meet the Spartans" being number one at the box-office, or "Epic Movie"...almost. I'm going to my local theater, and stopping anyone who plans on seeing "Obsessed". Man, thank God there's a bar inside. It's gonna be a long week. **** you nation!

Bloody Mathias

Bloody Mathias on 04-26-2009 09:21 PM

Damn Beyonce.

Anyway, it's just 5 days until the summer blockbuster season starts with what looks to be the lackluster Wolverine. Just looking at the trailer, you can tell that this will be Daredevil, or FF4: Silver Surfer bad. Honestly, it looks worse than X3, and that's saying something.

Is there any place for light, laughable superhero flicks like these in the post-TDK era?

I'm calling it now for Wolverine:

OW - $90 million.

Final - $200 million.

Bad word of mouth will probably hurt it in the long run.

Playboy Slim

Playboy Slim on 04-26-2009 10:17 PM

As far as trailers go, it looks better than "Star Trek". I have doubts about Wolverine, but I'm sure it will be good. And I still liked X3. It was very flawed, but all the X-Men films are a far cry from perfect.

jokerboy1991

jokerboy1991 on 04-26-2009 10:47 PM

You really think the Wolverine trailers have been better then Star Tres?!?! I mean come on man! There's like a thousand cheesy lines in the trailer (Ooh Shiny, I'm going to rip your damn head off). You see Wolverine fighting a helicopter, fighting the blob in a boxing match, and the shameless version of Deadpool. Star Trek trailers showed- Actors actually looking good, great visuals, Eric Bana looking great as Nero, a planet being demolished, and Space battles. LOL ledawg, you really think the Wolverine trailers were better then Trek's trailers? I hope Wolverine is fun, but it looks SO lackluster.

Playboy Slim

Playboy Slim on 04-27-2009 09:31 AM

"Star Trek" has trailers and ads that make me wonder if it's worth seeeing. Kirk saying "Then why don't you stop me", Kirk riding a motorycle as a kid, Bones saying "Space is disease and danger wrapped in darkness and silence", I DON'T LIKE WHAT I'M SEEING! I'm not saying the "Wolverine" trailer looks great, I'm saying the "Star Trek" trailer looks bad. And Eric Bana is a bad actor. I'll see "Star Trek", but I have SERIOUS doubts, mostly after the commercial for "Star Trek" saying "This is not your father's Star Trek". I ONLY KNOW MY "FATHER's" STAR TREK! Are they trying to drive fans away?

Jon B.

Jon B. on 04-27-2009 10:58 AM

Daredevil was light and laughable, but not for the right reasons, I second that with Elektra, oh, and the FF films.

King Thor

King Thor on 04-26-2009 09:47 PM

Too bad about The Soloist. It was pretty good.

HectorMoran91

HectorMoran91 on 04-26-2009 11:05 PM

Have to agree with Jokerboy, the Star Trek preview makes it look like an awesome Sci-Fi film, Wolverine has a bunch of crappy one-liners and features a bunch of mutants that didn't make it into the first three films. That being said, Wolverine might make more money than Star Trek, how sad is that possibility...

knowingtoast85

knowingtoast85 on 04-26-2009 11:12 PM

Movies that do well don't sell stars anymore. They might sell them in conjunction with something else (Bale Terminator = You'll Watch), but there's absolutely no room these days for the "smart, adult-driven, mature" fare that teases you with political intrigue, the promise of intelligent people talking at each other, and a gun being tastefully fired every thirty minutes or so. Not during the summer, at least.

Lots of moviegoers need concepts they can explain to their friends instantly. White chick tries to steal Beyonce's man, and they wind up smashing through the floor or something. Let's go see it.

It's even better when the title of the movie explains it all. Monsters, in fact, versus Aliens.

But I dare anyone (who hasn't seen this movie) to tell me what "State of Play" even means.


Solonik -.

Solonik -. on 04-27-2009 06:08 AM

I might have read into Obsession's title a bit much, but it gave me the impression that Beyonce and Ali Larter would have a nude, lesbian scene together. Wait...Beyonce is "obsessed" with another woman right?

the train

the train on 04-26-2009 11:57 PM

state of play? oh please. how many times can we watch a movie about a journalist who exposes government corruption? it's not that people don't want to see "smart" movies. they just don't want to see *these* smart movies. and as kt85 pointed out--not during the summer, either.

and now that obsession went huge, marvel should listen to my suggestion to cast ving rhames (okay--will smith) as captain america and base the movie on the truth book. comic book fans "urban youth" ( super popular black president) = massive box office worldwide.

Solonik -.

Solonik -. on 04-27-2009 06:10 AM

I don't know about Captain America, but Ving Rhames would make a badass Luke Cage.

Anakin

Anakin on 04-27-2009 04:35 AM

Crank 2. lol why isnt that at number one.

Trufire

Trufire on 04-27-2009 06:30 AM

I'm very disappointed in you America. VERY DISAPPOINTED! Shakes head in dismay* Saw the soloist this weekend. It was good but did definitely lack narrative focus. Made up for it however in the great acting and powerful music. No reason to really rush out and see it. You can wait to netflix it.

Next up, summer films! :-D I'm excited......save for the fact that I have to work the midnight showings of each of these probably :-P

Greg_Arious

Greg_Arious on 04-27-2009 06:33 AM

Why do you all keep forcing the race issue with this movie? In the box office preview and the wrap up. I dont know anyone who went to see this movie becuase of the race of the stars, and the previews made no mention of it so why are you so fixated on that point?

I havent seen the movie so maybe its a much bigger focus than they are showing in previews. Just asking not trying to be a pest.

Funkmaster Flex

Funkmaster Flex on 04-27-2009 07:50 AM

I saw Crank High Voltage and thought it was great. By no means did I figure out the meaning of life from watching it, I might even be a little dumber from watching it, but my date and I both thoroughly enjoyed it. Sad that it did poorly. Now it's a race between it and The Soloist to see which ends with more. Go Crank!

BUCK69

BUCK69 on 04-27-2009 08:05 AM

Unless Wolverine is a lot better than expected, I don't see it making much more than $150 million domestically. It will have a big opening, but Star Trek is going to take its legs right out from under it and two weeks later, Terminator: Salvation is going to drop it in its tracks. Joker Boy is on the money with this one. Trek looks far superior in every way, and from a purely financial stand-point, the anticipation is higher and based on the reviews, it's completely justified. Meanwhile, Fox is scrambling again to make as much as they can in the first few days following release.

trgdr777

trgdr777 on 04-27-2009 08:18 AM

I totally agree, Greg_Arious. From the trailers I didn't see anything about racial conflict. All I saw was shameless catfighting and a nonsensical plot. I'm pretty sure people went to see it to see chicks go crazy, not because of anything having to do with race. But whatever it looks terrible, so there shouldn't be any reason people are seeing it in the first place.

Gimy

Gimy on 04-27-2009 08:22 AM

dude, seriously...whats with the "blah blah blah...america" crap? you're not the prez, you're not bernie mac...get over it and stop addressing millions of people. god that gets annoying. its a forum of maybe 20 people.

i'm gonna go out on a limb and say wolverine won't even be in the top 5 this summer. i could be wrong but, terminator, transformers, trek, night at the museum, harry potter seem like better shots to beat it. i'm a bit tainted right now anyway with the neverending whining about the piracy and the trailers looking bad but the flick just seems like a really poor sell. we'll see...i might change my mind after thursday night but nothing i've seen thus far has me thinking uber movie hit. more like...the hulk with claws. hyped,leaked,average comic book flick, so so $ maker.

TheCaptain of TeamLoyalty

TheCaptain of TeamLoyalty on 04-27-2009 08:30 AM

While i do not agree that the Wolverine trailers are better than Star Trek they are not worse though. You really cannot compare them. I love both. And this site is the only place in the world where people ***** about the wolverine trailers.

TheCaptain of TeamLoyalty

TheCaptain of TeamLoyalty on 04-27-2009 08:31 AM

Bloody Mathais is retarded if he thinks this looks worse than FF4 Rise of the Silver Surfer. Man it must suck to think this movie will suck even though the real world says otherwise. Go jackoff to your copy of TDK. DC TOOL

BUCK69

BUCK69 on 04-27-2009 08:37 AM

Well, look who's no longer grounded! Play nice, toady and keep the personal attacks to yourself. Having a different opinion than other people does not make someone mentally handicapped.

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