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Box Office Guru Wrapup: Audiences Still Love Alice

Green Zone and She's Out of My League round out the top three.

This weekend, moviegoers showed no interest in leaving Johnny Depp's table as the 3D adventure Alice in Wonderland remained at number one at theaters across North America grossing more in its second weekend than all four new releases combined. The Tim Burton-directed pic captured an estimated $62M dropping only 47% in its sophomore frame -- a terrific hold for a film coming off of such a colossal opening. After ten days, Disney has hauled in a stunning $208.6M and looks headed for at least $325M with a good chance of topping $350M from the domestic market alone. 3D surcharges have helped but regardless, moviegoers have proven that they will pay extra to see this particular film. 70% of the business to date, or $146M, has come from the 3D screens.

In a mere ten days, Alice has already become the top-grossing pic for the Burton-Depp team beating the $206.5M of 2005's Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. Next weekend it will surpass the $251.2M of 1989's Batman to become the director's highest-grossing film, but it won't beat the Batpic's roughly 60 million tickets sold. For Depp, Alice will become the highly-paid actor's fourth megahit to smash the $300M level joining his Pirates trilogy.

Audiences this spring have embraced the latest films from the Burton-Depp and Scorsese-DiCaprio teams, but were not as excited for the newest collaboration between Bourne boys Matt Damon and Paul Greengrass. Their political thriller Green Zone opened in second place but grossed an estimated $14.5M from 3,003 locations for a $4,840 average which was decent but not spectacular. The R-rated film about an American Army officer investigating faulty intelligence in Iraq met with mixed reviews and played to an audience of adult men. The $100M-budgeted movie skewed 54% male and 67% 30 and older. A disappointing CinemaScore grade of B- means word-of-mouth is not expected to carry the Universal release very far. The opening was better than the $12.9M bow of Body of Lies starring Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe, but did not match the $17.1M debut of The Kingdom starring Jamie Foxx. All three dealt with U.S. involvement in the Middle East, a topic that remains a hard sell to paying audiences looking for weekend entertainment.

Debuting in third place was the R-rated romantic comedy She's Out of My League which grossed an estimated $9.6M from 2,956 theaters for a weak $3,248 average. Starring Jay Baruchel, the Paramount release targeted older teens and young adults but didn't have much starpower to attract audiences.

Venturing outside of his safe Twilight world, Robert Pattinson disappointed in his first chance at anchoring a film not part of the wildly popular vampire franchise. The romantic drama Remember Me opened in fourth with an estimated $8.3M and averaged only $3,744 from 2,212 playdates. The audience was overwhelmingly made up of young ladies with a whopping 84% of the crowd being female and 53% being under 25. Typical of a film with a teen-girl rush, opening day accounted for the bulk of the business with Saturday falling 20% from Friday's take. Every other film in the top ten saw ticket sales increase on Saturday. Critics were harsh on Remember Me and Twilight fans mostly saved their dollars in anticipation of June's third installment Eclipse.

Shutter Island became the third consecutive $100M hit for the Martin Scorsese-Leonardo DiCaprio machine this weekend. The crime thriller dropped 39% to an estimated $8.1M putting the total at $108M. 2004's The Aviator and 2006's The Departed also joined the century club.

Opening in seventh place was the cross-cultural comedy Our Family Wedding which bowed to an estimated $7.6M from 1,605 sites for a respectable $4,735 average. Fox Searchlight's PG-13 pic stars America Ferrera, Carlos Mencia, and Forest Whitaker and tells the tale of a black groom and Latina bride meeting each other's family. Reviews were dismal.

Avatar, winner of three Oscars, enjoyed the smallest decline in the top ten slipping only 19% to an estimated $6.6M. Fox has amassed a jaw-dropping $730.3M to date and reaching the $750M mark still seems likely. Overture's cop thriller Brooklyn's Finest, on the other hand, suffered the worst fall of any wide release tumbling 68% to an estimated $4.3M in its second weekend. With $21.4M in ten days, the Richard Gere starrer looks to end with $27-29M.

Rounding out the top ten were the comedy Cop Out and the horror remake The Crazies with $4.2M and $3.7M, respectively. Off 55%, the Bruce Willis-Tracy Morgan entry has reached $39.4M for Warner Bros. while Overture's fright flick has taken in $33.4M thus far.

Oscar winners took advantage of their new gold statues. Best Picture champ The Hurt Locker, already available on DVD, expanded slightly from 274 to 349 locations and enjoyed a 89% jump to an estimated $828,000 lifting Summit's modest total to $15.7M. Sandra Bullock's The Blind Side increased by 24% to an estimated $1.6M in its 16th weekend pushing the Warner Bros. cume to $252.7M. Jeff Bridges saw his Crazy Heart slip by only 6% to an estimated $3.1M giving Fox Searchlight $34.2M to date.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $128.9M which was up 53% from last year when Race to Witch Mountain opened in the top spot with $24.4M; and up 27% from 2008 when Horton Hears A Who debuted at number one with $45M.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, Box Office Guru!

Stepping Razor

Stepping Razor on 03-14-2010 07:19 PM

Seems Hollywood still hasn't learned yet that those big-star names don't sell movies as they did in the past.

These execs make millions to figure out what works and what doesn't, and while no one can 100 percent predict if a movie's a hit or a bomb, it's not too difficult to see patterns in what's not working. I'm an outsider to the studios and can see what's been failing as of late. Why can't the execs?

They need to get their heads checked since they're still so in love with that "a movie project has to have big names attached" mentality.

General Disarray

General Disarray on 03-14-2010 07:35 PM

Kinda disappointed in the performance for 'The Crazies'. More horror flicks could learn from its lesson. Sure, it may have devolved into cliche ridden horror territory, but it did have its genuinely disturbing moments. On top of that it was well directed and the score was a nice break from the usual horror soundtrack. Here's crossing my fingers that a sequel is greenlit.

Mr. Bo Ziffer

Mr. Bo Ziffer on 03-14-2010 08:51 PM

I agree with you, Jay. I saw The Crazies this week, and I thought it was a decent horror movie. It's too bad people would rather subject themselves to the next remake of the big hit in Korea, and all of that nonsense.

Super glad that Remember Me bombed, but we all know Pattinson is laughing his way to the bank, because he'll make that money up (and then some) in the next Twilight movie. If only Wesley Snipes would shoot a silver bullet into this "daywalker" . . . and Ryan Reynolds could make jokes the whole time! I'd pay to see that!

Throw An Onion

Throw An Onion on 03-14-2010 08:46 PM

Remember Me bombed? I wonder why? Oh wait, Pattinson can't act. So he only looks good when he's surrounded by Lautner and Stewart. Box Office is incredibly boring this week.

The.Watcher

The.Watcher on 03-14-2010 09:47 PM

The whole Remember Me turnout being mostly female and underage reminds me of when Mark Hamil did that other movie after Star Wars - I forget its name but I went cos I thought it would be like Luke Skywalker again but it sucked bad.
I was devastated...

dethburger

dethburger on 03-15-2010 04:37 AM

Corvette Summer.

Don of the Dead

Don of the Dead on 03-15-2010 09:43 AM

Ah, Corvette Summer... ha ha! I'm having flashbacks, Deth! At least the car was kind of cool...

dethburger

dethburger on 03-15-2010 10:40 PM

The car was VERY cool.

And yeah, I saw it at the theater!

King Crunk

King Crunk on 03-14-2010 09:54 PM

Wow, was expecting Green Zone to do better than that. Glad Remember Me failed, looked horrible.

Clint D.

Clint D. on 03-15-2010 06:56 AM

I am glad that Green Zone bombed this weekend. Matt Damon takes himself waaaay too seriously and actually thinks people want to see his political view at $10 a head

August M.

August M. on 03-15-2010 07:01 AM

Ha! Looks like the tween girls don't like Pattinson, they just like Twilight. Looks like Pattinson is headed down the same path as Hayden Christensen, or already is.

Bloody Mathias

Bloody Mathias on 03-15-2010 07:08 AM

Green Zone was disappointing.

How did Brian Helgeland - Oscar winning screenwriter of L.A. Confedential - gets so bad? Last year it was Pelham 123, and now this.

And Paul Greengrass, i can defend the shakey-cam, but what i can't defend is shakey-cam IN THE DARK! Come on, Paul, try a tri-pod for just one movie, just to show your critics that you can actually do it.

Gordon Franklin Terry Sr

Gordon Franklin Terry Sr on 03-15-2010 07:34 AM

It's the 3-D dude (that makes ALICE win!);

even I don't want to see THE GREEN ZONE . . . at all (and can't understand who would [to some degree]). THE GREEN ZONE is "The Bourne series" set in IRAQ and its about the WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION that we already know didn't exist so where's the suspense?

and we know that The Bad Guy is going to get blown-away somehow at the end and Matt Damon is going to emerge unscathed.


I'll BET though . . . if it were WILL SMITH co-starring with MATT DAMON in THE GREEN ZONE, the studio would have had a 60 MILLION DOLLAR opening.

GIMMICKS (such as 3-D) and STARS (such as WILL SMITH) are far more effective incentives to guarantee a NUMBER 1 opening open a movie at this moment in the movie-going industry.


dyun1dyun1

dyun1dyun1 on 03-15-2010 04:07 PM

I totally agree except for the Gimmick 3D part.

After seeing Beowulf in 3D and then again in 2D, I felt it made a big difference. All my stereotypes of ReadD or whatever any other newer format 3D tech is remarkable. Though like any "Gimmick" it can be abused when over used.

I am curious to see Clash of Titans in 3D, since the studio originally was made 2D. But due to the Avatar hoopla they quickly changed it to 3d. If the 3d in that movie seems out of place or doesn't enhance the movie then I will rescind my statement.

Nikolai S.

Nikolai S. on 03-15-2010 08:14 AM

I love so much all this news but why is there no Hachi: Richard Gere in Love With a Dog movie on this list? Read about it here

www.residentevilgenius.com

Ashron

Ashron on 03-15-2010 08:38 AM

Clint D, I'm not sure what Matt Damon you're talking about, but the one I've seen in interviews is a pretty down to Earth, self-deprecating kind of guy. I think he takes certain issues seriously, as everyone should, but I don't think he takes himself seriously, and I doubt he feels his opinion has any more merit than anyone else's.

dj Mark

dj Mark on 03-15-2010 08:52 AM

Saw "Alice" this weekend, and it was better than many of the critics gave it credit for. I never read the original book, and I don't remember the Walt Disney cartoon, but I thought as a Tim Burton film it worked well. Not among Depp or Burton's best work, but still an enjoyable diversion.

Milphey

Milphey on 03-15-2010 09:02 AM

Whew! some moronic comments here, Gordon and Clint D taking the idiot-cakes. Actually, the character in Green Zone was by no means a near invincible super human as say, Jason Bourne was. In the end it was not a great film, still not bad bad like say, Alice was. I did finally see Alice, wow... it had all these very pretty scenes that would make fantastic screen captures for backgrounds on your computer, but man, what a stupid uninspired movie (Hook anyone?).

Heck The Crazies was better than Alice or Green Zone.

Not L.

Not L. on 03-15-2010 09:06 AM

Seriously.. WTF is with this place and all the spammers running rampant?

Andrew W.

Andrew W. on 03-15-2010 09:26 AM

I sat through the Green Zone this weekend. The action was OK, the story was by the numbers, and it was heavy handed on its politics and revisionist history. During the film, someone in the audience said, "Bush lied, soldiers died!".

If you share that view then you may enjoy this film more than most. Otherwise, wait for the rental.

Playboy Slim

Playboy Slim on 03-15-2010 10:02 AM

The perfect example of a "slow week".

Clint D.

Clint D. on 03-15-2010 11:18 AM

"Whew! some moronic comments here, Gordon and Clint D taking the idiot-cakes"
Sorry Milphey, I didn't realize Matt wasn't giving you the reach around. Why are you so defensive of this film if it was nothing special as you state?
If it is because you work for or are invested in Universal then I am sorry because after Leap Year, The Wolfman, Green Zone and next week's bomb Repo Men, you are either about to lose a lot of money or your job.

Bloody Mathias

Bloody Mathias on 03-15-2010 12:02 PM

Hey, Clint D, why are you going for Matt Damon's throat?

Did he screw your mom or something?

See, it's easy to sound like a moron when you make somebody's motivations sound ridiculous.

The-End-Is-Near

The-End-Is-Near on 03-15-2010 12:06 PM

glad to see that faggy Robert Pattinson had a flop, now if fans could only do the same to Twilight. Wesley Snipes and Gary Oldman need to dress up as Blade and Dracula and beat the **** out of Robert Pattinson just off general principle.

Really annoyed to see Mr Goth and Emo himself Tim Burton come in number 1 with Sweeney To- sorry, Sleepy Hol- sorry Edward Scissor- sorry Burton in Wonderland. Why cant people see this guy is a one trick pony?

Clint D.

Clint D. on 03-15-2010 12:31 PM

"Hey, Clint D, why are you going for Matt Damon's throat?"
Because I do not like it when an actor gets too political means I am going for Matt Damon's throat. Give me a break. Take a look at the post right above this one and tell me how that guy isn't attacking Robert Pattinson and Tim Burton in the same post and yet I do not see anyone defending them.
Did I accidentally step into a Matt Damon shrine here or something?

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