Box Office Guru Wrapup: Latest Die Hard Leads Presidents' Day Weekend

The Presidents' Day holiday frame saw three films generate $20-25M in ticket sales but the action sequel A Good Day to Die Hard made enough to earn the number one spot. Comedy holdover Identity Thief dropped to second place while the new romance Safe Haven bowed in third. Overall box office was down from last year's robust holiday while Oscar contenders for Best Picture remained popular with moviegoers looking for quality cinema.

Bruce Willis anchored his first solo number one hit in thirteen years with his return as John McClane in A Good Day to Die Hard which grossed an estimated $25M over the Friday-to-Sunday period. The R-rated Fox release averaged a good but not stellar $7,036 from 3,553 locations and grossed $33.2M since its Thursday launch on Valentine's Day. The five-day debut including Monday Presidents' Day should end up about $10M less than the $48.4M five-day Wednesday-to-Sunday opening of the last film in the series, Live Free or Die Hard from June 2007 which was the only PG-13 chapter in the series. The new Russian-set story enjoyed higher ticket prices plus some IMAX premiums. The prior film, 1995's Die Hard with a Vengeance, bowed to $22.2M which would be roughly $40M at today's prices.

Reviews were dreadful for the poorly-titled Good Day, easily the worst ever for the quarter-century-old franchise. The story found the wisecracking cop heading to Moscow to help his son, a CIA agent in trouble with master criminals. Older action heroes have been rejected by audiences lately with both Arnold Schwarzenegger and Sylvester Stallone striking out in recent weeks with The Last Stand and Bullet to the Head, respectively. But based on his most popular character, Bruce saw more box office on his opening day of Die Hard than those films took in on their entire opening weekends.

A Good Day to Die Hard skewed as expected to older men. Studio research showed that 55% of the crowd was male and 65% was 25 and older. The CinemaScore grade was a respectable B+. While domestic interest in Die Hard has cooled, overseas numbers were hot. The fifth Die Hard grossed $61.5M from 63 markets this weekend upping the international total to $80.1M including some Asian markets like Korea and Taiwan which debuted last weekend. Leading the way were the U.K. with $7.6M, Japan with $6.8M, Russia's $6.7M, and Germany with $6.4M. Korea stands at $8.8M after its sophomore frame with France and Brazil opening next weekend plus China and Australia launching in March. Many Latin American markets more than doubled the openings of the last Die Hard. A final worldwide cume of over $350M is possible for the new pic. Action franchises like these usually continue on thanks in large part to overseas revenue potential.

Last weekend's muscular number one smash Identity Thief found another sizable audience in its second round with an estimated $23.4M for an encouraging decline of only 32%. Universal has amassed a sizable $70.7M in ten days and could be headed for a finish in the vicinity of $130M. That is an impressive amount for a film that cost only $35M to produce.

Young women propelled the new romance Safe Haven into third place with an estimated $21.4M from 3,223 theaters for a solid $6,649 average. The Relativity release debuted at number one on Thursday with $8.8M because of Valentine's Day but held its own over the weekend too leading to a $30.3M four-day start from Thursday-to-Sunday - just $3M behind the much more expensive Die Hard.

Reviews were dreadful, but that is common for romance movies based on Nicholas Sparks novels. Starring Josh Duhamel and Julianne Hough, the PG-13 film played to an audience that was 71% female and 68% under 25. Safe Haven's four-day start was even with the $30.5M three-day debut of 2010's Dear John, also based on a Sparks book, which had much more starpower with Channing Tatum and Amanda Seyfried.

The Weinstein Co. scored a victory in fourth place with the 3D animated film Escape From Planet Earth which bowed to an estimated $16.1M over the three days since its Friday debut. With zero kidpics released by studios so far this year, the PG-rated toon had the family market all to itself and averaged a decent $4,886 from 3,288 locations. The CinemaScore was a B+.

Hollywood has programmed an excessive number of R-rated action films into the first two months of the year to go along with the string of adult-skewing Oscar contenders which have been mostly rated R. That created a huge void for this segment of the audience and with schools off for the long holiday frame, parents had no other options. The performance of Escape was especially good for a movie not based on a well-known brand, not from a big supplier of animated movies like Pixar or DreamWorks, and not featuring any major names in the voice cast. The Monday holiday should add plenty more for the long four-day weekend. Reviews were poor.

The hit zombie romance Warm Bodies scored a hot sophomore frame dipping only 21% against stiff competition collecting an estimated $9M. The Summit film has now grossed a stellar $50.2M in just 17 days and should continue to see much more thanks to terrific word-of-mouth. Picking up lost business due to last weekend's east coast blizzard played a factor, but audiences are liking this unique story which is becoming a sleeper hit.

Bodies may have siphoned off some of the target audience for the supernatural tale Beautiful Creatures which bombed debuting to just $7.5M from 2,950 locations for a weak $2,529 average. Taking in $10M since its Thursday release, the PG-13 film based on the best-selling young adult novel hoped to connect with young women. But competition was tough and reviews were not encouraging. A middling B CinemaScore does not bode well for a teen-skewing film made to make most of its money upfront.

Steven Soderbergh's drama Side Effects enjoyed a decent hold in its second weekend dipping 32% to an estimated $6.3M pushing the ten-day cume to $19.1M for Open Road. Best Picture contender Silver Linings Playbook once again eased by a scant amount. The Weinstein Co. hit grossed an estimated $6.1M, off only 5%, for a $98.5M total. It will crack nine digits on Monday or Tuesday.

Falling 40% to an estimated $3.5M was Paramount's Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters which has banked $49.7M to date. Rounding out the top ten was Oscar contender Zero Dark Thirty which slipped just 23% to an estimated $3.1M giving Sony $88M overall.

In the final full weekend before the Academy Awards, moviegoers kept sampling all the major contenders with four more Best Picture nominees filling up spots on the chart with small declines. Front-runner Argo dipped only 6% to an estimated $2.2M putting Warner Bros. at $126.9M domestically and $204M worldwide. The Ben Affleck hit lands on Blu-ray this Tuesday and is preparing itself for a new audience on multiple platforms should it win Best Picture next Sunday. Lincoln, another big player, eased 10% to an estimated $1.7M for a cume to date of $176.3M. Worldwide is $235.3M.

Ang Lee's Life of Pi declined by only 13% in its 13th weekend to an estimated $1.5M for $110.8M so far in North America and a stunning $577M globally. The Weinstein Co. collected an estimated $1.5M as well for Django Unchained, down 35%, with $157M domestic to date. Worldwide is now up to $365.6M. Les Misérables suffered the worst drop of any Best Picture contender falling 45% to an estimated $855,000 with $145.6M overall. Sony Classics expanded the French-language hit Amour and saw sales surge 92% to an estimated $721,000. Cume is $3.9M.

All eight Best Picture contenders that are still in theaters now finished in the Top 20 this weekend. The nine nominees together have grossed a whopping $918M domestically and an eye-popping $2 billion worldwide. Oscar ratings should see a boost this year since so many movie fans have actually seen so many of the top contenders.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $121.3M which was down 12% from the Friday-to-Sunday portion of last year's Presidents' Day frame when Safe House climbed into the number one spot with $23.6M; and down 4% from 2011 when Unknown debuted in the top spot with $21.9M.

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Comments

Typhon

Typhon Q

Die Hard for the win!

Feb 17 - 06:37 PM

spatterson205

Shane Patterson

Good for Die Hard. Suck it critics!

Feb 17 - 06:41 PM

The.Watcher

The Watcher

Yeah, fuck those critics for calling a piece of shit a piece of shit! How dare they?

Feb 17 - 07:19 PM

spatterson205

Shane Patterson

Whatever dude. Grow up, get over yourself, and stop worshipping the ground of people who think freakin' movies are the end all of the world. It is make-believe fantasy for people wanting to escape for a few hours. I was entertained. And don't try and tell me you went and saw it and hated it . . you would just be lying, while letting others make up your mind for you.

Feb 17 - 09:56 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I guess I'll take the opinion seriously of the guy who doesn't care.

So you don't really care? That's the fact? Just own it. Owe up to it. I don't care about a lot of things. I don't care about Mazda Miatas. But you know what I don't do. I don't waste my time on Motor Trend's website telling people that the thing they care about is meaningless. Try going to SI or ESPN and explain to their readers how their sports teams aren't the end-all of the world. Or, maybe if movies don't provide you with sufficient spiritual engagement, try finding something in your life that does, and spend your time on that. Maybe your children (perhaps) would appreciate your time more than your computer does.

Feb 17 - 10:40 PM

DGates

First Last

Umm, dude, then how come you're visiting and commenting on a site that's an collection of movie reviews?

Yeah, that's what I thought. Poser.

Feb 18 - 01:31 AM

Chris Eaton

Chris Eaton

That's a lot of blathering for someone who "doesn't care".

Feb 18 - 04:48 AM

Zane B

Chum Chum

Wow, are you in physical pain from being so stupid?

Feb 18 - 08:43 AM

Dave J

Dave J

I have no idea what you're griping about since the reviews gap has been different for years eg The Transformers movies, Twilight, Adam Sandler movies, - all those films are liked by the users more than the critics!

Feb 18 - 12:09 PM

The.Watcher

The Watcher

Damn. Yo Shane, I hope you got ointments primed and ready to treat those burns, man.

Feb 18 - 05:18 PM

Brandon Taylor

Brandon Taylor

Ouch, people getting serious in the comment section. Whats wrong with just saying,"the movie was okay. I guess you don't agree", and moving on. As if your comment will change anyones opinion, or somehow make them "not an idiot". Oh shit...im trying to do that right now. GOD DAMN IT.

Feb 19 - 07:44 AM

Dave J

Dave J

Quite the opposite "The Watcher"- I'm with Shane on this since "Good Day To Die Hard" is a typical guy film with a solid "R" rating just for the excessive violence! Saying that the average films that do well are usually PG friendly!

Feb 19 - 01:20 PM

King  S.

King Simba

"I'm with Shane on this since "Good Day To Die Hard" is a typical guy film with a solid "R" rating just for the excessive violence!"

And that automatically makes it a good film?

Feb 20 - 05:52 AM

Dave J

Dave J

82% from the users so far is not bad!

"And that automatically makes it a good film?"

And what is your point when submitting this question since the users ratings has always been different with the critics! eg The last two Transformers films are liked more from the users than the critics as well as the "Twilight" movies!

Feb 20 - 12:45 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

Well, you're just proving "King Simba" correct. You've got to admit, Twilight sucked. And most of the Transformers did too. Maybe listening to the critics ain't such a bad idea.

As for the Shane-Watcher saga (above), what the hell? What The Watcher is trying to say, Shane, is that he's interested in watching a good movie, where Die Hard clearly is not. He's simply stating facts? Shane is the only one who's making comments that are made solely from opinion, The Master uses fact.

Also, "people who think freakin' movies are the end all of the world." A: that statement doesn't make any sense as a reply to the Master's words. B:"end all of the world". Yeah, we're supposed to listen to a guy that doesn't know the difference between 'of' and 'all'? ALL OF your comments sucked and, worst OF ALL, you actually think yourself smart enough to type a rude comment on the web and get away with it...

Feb 20 - 03:52 PM

Dave J

Dave J

You do know that movies are "subjective" right and that it's okay to acknowledge what critics are saying about it even though they're looking at the perspective if you get paid to watch movies all the time, and is not the same as people who hardly watch anything at all! So what you're implying is that everything you like are perfectly spot on, and that you have no 'guilty pleasures' whatsoever? Meaning that every film that you liked are rated positive including horror films, am I correct on that?

Because when films such as "The Good The Bad And The Ugly" and "It's A Wonderful Life" originally came out on movie screens- they weren't liked so much by movie critics as much as they're right now since the critics that hated it much of them are not even alive anymore!

And are you even a guy- do you even like action films that are not like the action friendly super hero films?

Feb 21 - 12:25 PM

King  S.

King Simba

Dave - you're defending a guy and yet at the same time you don't seem to realize why he got all these negative responses. If he had just said that he enjoyed the film or called it a guilty pleasure I'm sure most if not all would have simply let his comment slide (don't we all have films that we liked much more than critics?) However, when he told critics to suck it and then said that anyone who hated the film was lying to himself, acting as if his opinion is fact, well that's taking things too far.

Also, critics do not think films are the end of the world. They're perfectly capable of enjoying an action spectacle if they feel it's well made. I mean just look at last year. Both Skyfall and Avengers earned better reviews than some of the films that got nominated for best picture. They didn't seem to mind at all that in it's opening sequence alone, Skyfall featured several implausible moments because as a whole they felt the film delivered.

Oh and regarding my previous comment, I was simply pointing out that I found your arguments for calling the film good pretty weak, as a film needs a lot more than a R-rating and excessive violence for it to be considered good.

Feb 21 - 03:25 PM

Dave J

Dave J

Read his comment again for he was being very general about his comment! His comment was originally directed at username "The Watcher" who I assumed hadn't seen it yet!

"It is make-believe fantasy for people wanting to escape for a few hours. I was entertained. And don't try and tell me you went and saw it and hated it . . you would just be lying, while letting others make up your mind for you"

He was stating this as a general consenses so far since the percent of people who did see it liked it more than the critics with a scoring of 82%- not 50% or 49%!

"as a film needs a lot more than a R-rating and excessive violence for it to be considered good."

I'm just saying that their isn't many "R" rated action films for guys- that is all for Skyfall as well as the Avengers are rated PG!

Feb 21 - 04:46 PM

King  S.

King Simba

No, he was saying that anyone who said hated it were lying to themselves, simple as that, which in my opinion is something really immature to say.

And the 82% rating means nothing, as films almost always start off really high before dropping in the coming weeks.

Feb 21 - 11:22 PM

MisterVile

Mister Vile

Die Hard was awful there fanboy.

Feb 18 - 07:09 AM

Lee Augustus

Lee Augustus

SHUT THE FUCK UP

Feb 19 - 01:11 PM

Brad and Netflix

Bradly Martin

Ha Ha, Mediocre Action film beats Mediocre Romance Film! In your face Stallone and Schwartzenegger, Willis still has top box office earning power!

Some one want to explain why the Tweens don't like a Twilight Regurgitated Flick? Is it because the cast is too good? Is a good cast poison to a tween movie audience? What is going one with this Horrid opening!?

Feb 17 - 07:15 PM

Trever Lever

Trever Lever

It wasn't the Die Hard we deserved but it was the Die Hard we needed.

Feb 17 - 08:46 PM

Dick Travis

Mick Travis

????????????????????????????????????????????

Feb 17 - 09:01 PM

Brad and Netflix

Bradly Martin

It's a Dark Knight Reference.

Feb 18 - 12:05 AM

Dick Travis

Mick Travis

It still made no fucking sense.

Feb 18 - 06:41 AM

Brad and Netflix

Bradly Martin

References have to make sense, but then...what will become of Meme's!

Feb 18 - 12:01 PM

Dave J

Dave J

What he probably meant is that "Die Hard" is a guy film and does not crave for the family oriented demographic of say the Twilight films, The Hunger Games and any successful PG film ever made!

Feb 18 - 12:13 PM

MisterVile

Mister Vile

The Movie wasn't needed at all. Even the moronic public didn't deserve it...

Feb 18 - 07:10 AM

Dick Travis

Mick Travis

Thank you!

Feb 18 - 09:19 AM

Dave J

Dave J

Would you be saying that if the film scored high with the critics, because as I recall the last one was positive?

Feb 18 - 12:14 PM

SecondBest

This Guy

I went to see Die Hard and loved it. I really wanted to see a mindless fun film and it delivered. Im glad it got number 1, hope it keeps doing better.

Feb 17 - 09:28 PM

MisterVile

Mister Vile

Where was the fun? Did you see the original instead?

Feb 18 - 07:10 AM

SecondBest

This Guy

I loved the cartoonish action scenes, Im a big fan of Bruce Willis and he was funny in this...So yeah it was fun. I don't think it is better then the previous 4, but it was still fun. I can understand how some people can watch it and not enjoy it...but I did.

Feb 18 - 11:06 AM

Dave J

Dave J

As I recall, the critics didn't like the film because the lack of character development even though it had gotten an R rating for the excessive violence! And 82% positive from the users rating is not bad so far!

Feb 19 - 12:31 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

Bleh.

Feb 17 - 10:01 PM

Daniel Irwin

Daniel Irwin

Another bad weekend for films, another reason to worry about the summer.

Feb 18 - 05:45 AM

Ralph

Ralph Myers

Saw Side Effects and shit was unreal. Early contender for best pic of 2013

Feb 18 - 05:54 AM

Daniel Irwin

Daniel Irwin

You can thank Steven Soderbergh and Rooney Mara for that film. They only make me want to see it more.

Feb 19 - 06:19 PM

MisterVile

Mister Vile

Ideas for an awful Die Hard Sequel:

1. Put John McClain in another country
2. Have him be the goofy partner to his seriously played son
3. Don't have him be in the wrong place, wrong time like in all the other movies, lets put him in an international terrorist plot
4. Don't give him any smart-alleck dialog (which i thought the villians threw him some softball pitches he couldn't end up hitting)
5. Have a lame twist ending that would have Shyamalan rolling his eyes.

Feb 18 - 07:14 AM

King  S.

King Simba

They're probably going to keep the setting in a foreign country, as its the overseas gross that's going to make this film profitable.

Feb 18 - 09:14 AM

Zane B

Chum Chum

These recent movies...blah. It's choosing between trash and garbage. Gonna be hittin and adding to my movie collection for awhile..until summer probably

Feb 18 - 08:46 AM

Andrew Brinkerhoff

Andrew Brinkerhoff

I know; I want to make another trip to the theater but there's nothing out that I want to see. Really hoping things pick up in March.

Feb 18 - 09:51 AM

Ben Moore

Ben Moore

And yet, we still see Bullet to the Head continue to tank. Thank the Lord. Fuck yourself Stallone.

Feb 18 - 02:34 PM

Dave J

Dave J

You don't like Stallone but you still continue to watch him- Oh, this makes sense!

Feb 18 - 03:00 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

He actually said that he didn't see it yet. He shouldn't be bashing on a film he's haven't seen.

Feb 20 - 09:11 PM

Dave J

Dave J

Actually, although he hadn't seen "Bullet to The Head" he still continues to watch Stallone films!

Feb 21 - 12:26 PM

Lee Augustus

Lee Augustus

Fuck you, cum guzzling fuckhole. May Sylvester Stallone live on forever!!!

Feb 19 - 12:21 PM

Ben Moore

Ben Moore

All of you can lick my fucking balls. You guys do not anything about movies. Kill yourselves.

Feb 21 - 08:21 PM

Gene Bodyl

Gene Bodyl

I find it how the best-reviewed film of the week gets the lowest box office opening. Seems like it has been happening a lot lately. However, as a big Die Hard fan, I'm happy to see Die Hard 5 get first place despite the atrocious reviews.

Feb 18 - 08:05 PM

REd ForktaiLeffect

REd ForktaiLeffect

i hope they make one more Die Hard film, make up for the flaws of this one(Die hard 5), make it a blast, make it a mix of die hard 1 and die hard 4, and give it a decent closure for John McClane's character.

Feb 19 - 08:40 AM

Toby Belch

Toby Belch

I went, I saw, I was diverted for 100 minutes, but the action was very been-there-done-it (better) and the story and dialog were weak. People were attentive but there was hardly even a chuckle throughout.

Feb 19 - 05:35 PM

Jan Vrotsos

Jan Vrotsos

Love Bruce Willis, Love John McClane

Feb 20 - 04:24 AM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

From what I read, Escape From Planet Earth actually had a large well known cast. It said that Brendan Fraser, Jane Lynch, Jessica Alba and George Lopez star in it. I didn't see the movie but that's what I herd.

Feb 20 - 09:09 PM

cynthia j.

cynthia john

Hi Friend I like your Name and you pictures i am a girl my Name is Cynthia am for Sudan i Connected in is Site today by my friends Crybaby I am a University Student in Sudan?

here is my mail ( cynthiajohn3j@yahoo.com.sg ) then i will send you my picture and also tell you more about my self have a nice-day thinks

Feb 22 - 12:50 PM

cynthia j.

cynthia john

Hi Friend I like your Name and you pictures i am a girl my Name is Cynthia am for Sudan i Connected in is Site today by my friends Crybaby I am a University Student in Sudan?

here is my mail ( cynthiajohnj3@yahoo.com.sg ) then i will send you my picture and also tell you more about my self have a nice-day thinks

Feb 22 - 01:12 PM

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