New Line does not have an easy sell here. However the studio was wise to program the release into the second half of summer knowing that audiences may be all actioned out by now and looking for something different. Musicals rarely hit the big screen during the summer although in 2001 Moulin Rouge opened wide to $13.7M and a $6,019 average leading to a respectable $57.4M gross. Hairspray hopes to become a hit like Chicago and Dreamgirls, rather than a dud like Rent or The Producers. Broadway musicals don't always translate well onto the big screen but starpower often helps to make them click with moviegoers. Hairspray boasts a solid line-up of Hollywood stars and with strong reviews should attract a good following at the box office. Dancing into more than 3,000 theaters, the Adam Shankman-directed film could collect about $19M this weekend.

Nikki Blonsky in Hairspray
A space team is sent on a mission to repair the dying sun in Fox Searchlight's futuristic thriller Sunshine which launches in limited release in ten theaters on Friday. Michelle Yeoh, Chris Evans, and Cillian Murphy star in this latest film from director Danny Boyle which expands to more cities in the weeks ahead.

Something resembling sunshine in Sunshine
Warner Bros. will take on the two new comedies and try for a second weekend on top with Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix. Had the film opened on a Friday and concentrated its whole audience into three days, the dropoff would easily have been more than 60%. However, the Wednesday launch last week softened the Friday-to-Sunday tally so a smaller decline should result. The biggest foe will actually be Potter himself as the seventh and final book in the wildly popular series will go on sale early Saturday prompting millions of fans to invest their time into reading rather than munching on popcorn in front of a big screen. A 55% drop would give Phoenix around $35M for the frame and a mammoth 12-day cume of $210M.
Transformers should also have a decent hold since no new action entries are hitting the multiplexes. The Paramount/DreamWorks release might fall by 45% to roughly $20M boosting the total to a towering $262M. Disney and Pixar also look to see a good hold for Ratatouille. The animated rodent comedy may slide by 35% to $12M for a sum of $165M to date.
LAST YEAR: For the third straight weekend, Johnny Depp's Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest led the field and grossed $35.2M boosting the 17-day total to a staggering $321.9M. Sony's animated film Monster House debuted in second place with $22.2M and was followed by fellow freshman Lady in the Water from Warner Bros. which disappointed with a $18M launch. Final domestic tallies reached $73.5M and $42.3M, respectively. Rounding out the top five were the comedies You, Me and Dupree with $12.8M and Little Man with $11M. Another pair of comedies debuted outside the top five. MGM's Clerks II bowed to $10.1M on its way to $24.1M, while Fox's My Super Ex-Girlfriend opened to only $8.6M leading to a $22.5M final.
Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com
Related Items
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SplendidIsolation writes: on Jul 19 2007 06:36 PM I predict $34 million for Chuck and Larry $13 million for Hairspray I`m always wrong, but whatever... (Reply to this) |
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~*Admiral Snowstorm*~ writes: on Jul 19 2007 06:42 PM "Reviews have been bad as usual but should not factor in much." Hahaha, what a perfect quote. I love it. Also, is Chuck and Larry Rated R? I've been seeing that around here and there, and I'm fairly sure it's PG-13, but I'd appreciate it if anyone cared to verify. (Reply to this) |
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RT-News writes: on Jul 19 2007 06:53 PM It's PG-13. It was changed from R on appeal. (Reply to this) |
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rdproductions writes: on Jul 19 2007 06:55 PM * Burbage dies on pg. 12 * Hedwig dies on pg. 56 * Mad-Eye dies on pg. 78 * Scrimgeour dies on pg. 159 * Wormtail dies on pg. 471 * Dobby dies on pg. 476 * Snape gets bitten on the neck by Nagini, dies on pg. 658 * Fred Weasley gets blown up on pg. 637 * Harry gets ****ed up by Voldemort on pg. 704 o Comes back to life on pg. 724 *Voldemort gets killed by his own rebounding curse (n00b) on pg. 744 * Tonks, Lupin, and Colin Creevy have their deaths confirmed on pg. 745 (Reply to this) |
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Product_of_You writes: on Jul 19 2007 07:57 PM This reporter doesn't know what he is talking about. "The former Saturday Night Live star only does one film per year and each comedy has a specific well-defined plot." Ok, well tell that to my favorite movie of the year so far, Reign Over Me. (Reply to this) |
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omelette writes: on Jul 19 2007 08:41 PM In reply to this comment (#949885) Okay, please stop with the fake spoilers. They're annoying as hell and nobody's buying it. And I think I'd die if I Now Pronounce you Chuck and Larry beats HP5 at the box office. It looks heinous. (Reply to this) |
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CoUcH ToMaToE DoUgIe writes: on Jul 19 2007 09:21 PM In reply to this comment (#949885) hey, dude no one likes a blabbermouth to ruin their lives after a decade long commitment to something so special. (Reply to this) |
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rockstarfrank writes: on Jul 19 2007 10:35 PM I predict both of these films will bomb...based on the simple fact that they both look horrible. (Reply to this) |
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selke99 writes: on Jul 20 2007 10:04 AM In reply to this comment (#951193) Ah you forget my friend, the power of Adam Sandler. I thought Anger Management was one of the most pretentious, crappy movies I'd ever seen, yet it makes, what, over 200 mil? Click wasn't all that great yet makes well over 100 mill. Little Nicky made a little coin, and Mr. Deeds I heard wasn't that good, yet also makes over 100 mil. It's like that South Park where Cartman is the Awesomo 2000 and he comes up with these crappy movie ideas with Sandler, and the Hollywood execs are just eating it up. Sad how true that is. But I did enjoy Waterboy, Gilmore, Big Daddy, Madison, 50 First Dates (not as much). (Reply to this) |
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Bloody Mathias writes: on Jul 20 2007 11:06 AM Harry - $40 million Chuck & Larry - $35 million Hairspray - $20 million Transformers - $18 million Ratatouille - $10 million (Reply to this) |
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Bloody Mathias writes: on Jul 20 2007 11:06 AM Harry - $40 million Chuck & Larry - $35 million Hairspray - $20 million Transformers - $18 million Ratatouille - $10 million (Reply to this) |
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Bloody Mathias writes: on Jul 20 2007 11:06 AM Harry - $40 million Chuck & Larry - $35 million Hairspray - $20 million Transformers - $18 million Ratatouille - $10 million (Reply to this) |
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bookworm1994 writes: on Jul 20 2007 11:25 AM In reply to this comment (#950709) Preach it, Bobby. Power to the HP lovers who can't stand dumb spoilers. If I hear another Harry dies I may very well kill myself. (Reply to this) |
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bookworm1994 writes: on Jul 20 2007 11:26 AM In reply to this comment (#950382) I think he means big comedies. No, he wasn't specific, but who the hell cares. Yay to Reign Over Me. (Reply to this) |
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RawIsRamsey writes: on Jul 20 2007 01:59 PM Potter will hold to at least $40-$45 mil...possibly more with the new book coming out (spoilers above are ACCURATE....sorry, but it's true). Chuck & Larry will open very close to that, probably $35-$40 mil. Transformers will be 3rd with another $20-$25 mil. Ratatouille will take 4th with about $15 mil. Hairspray will garble in at 5th with about $10 mil. No one likes musicals (Chicago had tremendous actors, not hacks like Travolta and Pfieffer, and Dreamgirls got the African-American market because of Beyonce...deny it all you want, call it racist if you want, but fact is black people push black movies...look no further than the Wayans Brothers and the Madea films, which are all terrible). (Reply to this) |
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unbreakable_samurai writes: on Jul 20 2007 02:21 PM I'm still going to see Chuck and Larry, it looks amusing and Biel is damn hot. You Kill Me just opened here today too, so I think I'll check that out Sunday. (Reply to this) |
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pom_pom288 writes: on Jul 20 2007 02:26 PM I say Potter takes it by a nose with all the book 7 hype. (Reply to this) |
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kendrith1975 writes: on Jul 20 2007 09:00 PM In reply to this comment (#955596) I am very impressed to see someone predicting all holdovers dropping less than 45% from last weekend. If HARRY POTTER 5 dropped to just 40-45 million (just around , it will on track to be the highest grosser HP movie in the franchise. That was a very rosy and gutsy prediction, but the real eye-opener is predicting a less than 15% drop for RATATOUILLE, and less than a 25% drop for TRANSFORMERS. If the above prediction becomes true, this may well become one of the most impressive summer weekends ever, which we all love to see. (Reply to this) |
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