Box Office Predictions

I think it will get between Harry Potter and Dark Knight Rises for the opening weekend and quite a bit higher than Iron Man domestically and internationally.

Opening Weekend = $163 million
Total Domestic = $380 million
Total Worldwide = $1 billion
Johnny Ross
04-10-2013 05:24 PM

Thread Replies

Please log in to participate in this forum.

joe mama v.

joe mama vigoa

5000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000$

Jun 5 - 01:00 PM

Judge Nikhil

nikhil bhardwaj

it already made 175mil in opening weekeng in usa and worldwide grossed 680mill ,which is more than previous iron man movies,the incredible hulk, thor,captain america

May 5 - 10:17 AM

Suraj Sunny

Suraj Sunny

Just in, Iron Man 3 is gona open in 4253 screens which is lesser by at least 100 screens comparing to Avengers, TDK, TDKR n even Iron Man 2. but still im sticking $155m weekend prediction

May 2 - 02:27 PM

Tony Eddard Stark

Tony Eddard Stark

Iron Man 3 will be playing in 4,253 locations and 10,679 auditoriums, a slightly wider release than The Avengers, when measured by film prints, and the widest release of 2013. About 560 theaters will be showing Iron Man 3 in a large format, including 325 Imax screens.

May 4 - 08:28 PM

Suraj Sunny

Suraj Sunny

easily above $155m weekend in US
easily above $1b worlwide
will never cross avengers
and will be one of the three that makes $1b (hobbit, hunger games)
and please dont talk by fan-love or baseless estimates, this is what box office mojo (no 1 website for box office analysis) has predicted on keeping in my mind the positive reviews, screen count and fan base.

May 2 - 02:15 PM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

Hmm... The Hunger Games needs to see a big leap overseas and stay about the same level domestically for it to reach $1 billion [I follow BOM as well, great site].

May 2 - 11:02 PM

Darth Y.

Darth Yoda

Opening weekend: $155-$165m
Total Domestic: $350-$375m
Total Worldwide: $700-800m

May 1 - 07:58 PM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

Domestic seems like pretty good predictions, but your worldwide is off. Iron Man 3 already has $242.1 million overseas. If it were to stop dead right now and have a full domestic run and get what you predicted, it'd have $592.1 - $617.1 million worldwide. Of course, though, the overseas gross is huge so far and it's only been out since about Thursday/Friday [April 25th/26th] in most places outside of North America. Except it to make a lot more than your predicted $700-$800 million worldwide.

May 1 - 10:58 PM

Darth Y.

Darth Yoda

Much reading I've done. Lucrative the overseas market is. Hmmph. Yes. Miscalculated total worldwide I have. Revise I must. $1.125b or more it will be. Hmmph. Yes. Much better it is my prediction. This I know. Trust me you must.

May 2 - 12:35 AM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

Haha. Loving the Yoda talk, Darth Yoda.

Iron Man 3 is at $307 million overseas right now. It broke the midnight and opening day records in China, too. This article talking about worldwide links to the China records in paragraph two. Expect it to be rather big. :D

http://www.boxoffice.com/latest-news/2013-05-01-global-iron-man3-closes-in-on-250m

May 2 - 10:58 AM

Brendan Sullivan

Brendan Sullivan

Opening weekend: easily $200

May 1 - 05:38 PM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

Only one movie has ever crossed the $200 million mark on opening weekend and that was The Avengers just last year. Even if Iron Man 3 were to somehow get over $200 million this weekend, it sure didn't get it 'easily'.

May 1 - 07:12 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

Yeah, a more realistic comment is if he actually meant two hundred dollars.

May 2 - 07:23 AM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

Shit, I was going to put that at the end on my paragraph but I forgot. Something along the lines of:

"Unless you meant just $200, than I'd have to disagree with you. It might struggle to make that much..."

May 2 - 10:56 AM

griff g.

griff goldstien

i thought the middle third of avengers was dreadful.....especially the LOKI//BLACK Widow scene

May 1 - 10:57 AM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

That part sucked, but you know which part you missed out? The first and third third of the Avengers

May 2 - 07:24 AM

griff g.

griff goldstien

im pretty sure....the "superman fan base" is goliath to "iron man"....i have a feeling "man of steel" might beat all at box office....theres already OSCAR buZZ surrounding "man of steel"..... also....Avengers might look dumb and stupid once Nolans superman comes out

May 1 - 10:56 AM

John Festle

John Festle

*once Synder's Superman comes out* There I fixed it for you

May 3 - 01:47 PM

Jameson Worley

Jameson Worley

$1B for sure. I'd really really surprised if it didn't make it. IM3 is the only film I see crossing the mark this year.

Apr 29 - 12:49 PM

Kurtiss Keefner

Kurtiss Keefner

Hobbit 2, Hunger Games 2, Thor 2, and maybe even Man of Steel have a fighting chance at the billion mark as well.

May 1 - 09:18 AM

Brendan Sullivan

Brendan Sullivan

don't forget ender's game

May 1 - 05:39 PM

All-Knowing Panda

The Incredible Panda Hulk

Ender's Game won't for sure, to much controversy on OSC

May 2 - 06:09 AM

David Lo Pan

EntertainMeOrDie .

$0.38

Apr 29 - 09:03 AM

zinc alloy

zinc alloy

not what it should make but what it will make.........

Apr 30 - 02:52 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Oh, well, $4.

May 1 - 03:10 AM

Marcus Ciubal

Marcus Ciubal

Since Wed and opened at 42 markets overseas, it grossed $195 million, $10m bigger than that of The Avengers. Numbers like $700-900m are not possible anymore. I'll stick to my predictions:
Opening Weekend = $170-190 million
Total Domestic = $550-580 million
Worldwide = $1.25-1.4 billion
....Although IM3 will be the clear box office winner this year, the superhero that has the best chances to win the Superhero film of the year would be Man Of Steel(based on the trailers), but who knows, I mean I'm still skeptical with the directorial job given to Snyder who's resume is quite......rotten.

Apr 28 - 08:17 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

Yea, I think 1 billion worldwide is a little low of a guess now.
But 580 domestic is a bit of a stretch..it seems like this movie might not be as well liked as the Avengers or Iron Man 1

Apr 29 - 12:36 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

But obviously I could be wrong..I hope it does make 580

Apr 29 - 12:37 PM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

That'll be smurfing awesome if Iron Man 3 got 1.4 billion.

Apr 29 - 03:13 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

If by awesome you mean horrible then yes, It will be surfing awesome if Iron Man 3 got 1.4 billion.

May 2 - 07:30 AM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

I said "Smurfing", not "Surfing".

May 2 - 06:30 PM

Marcus Ciubal

Marcus Ciubal

So far, I hit the opening weekend correctly with my $170-190m prediction. I'm sure the final figures will also fall within my other estimates. :D

May 5 - 10:41 AM

Ash Gilmore

Ash J. Gilmore

It'll definitely hit 1 billion.

Apr 28 - 06:25 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

Those of you saying it has no chance at a billion have to look at the facts.
Even if it doesn't quite make it (which it almost definitely will)
there's no way you can say that it has no chance.

Apr 28 - 06:10 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

You muthafuckas that say 150 mill first weekend are retarded.

First Week: 89 million
Domestic: 450 million
Worldwide: 800-900 million

Apr 28 - 02:33 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

You'll see

Apr 28 - 05:04 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

your numbers are horrible by the way.
If it opens to 89 it won't make anywhere near 450 million domestic.
Also, if it makes 450 million domestic, 800 million worldwide is ridiculously low.

Apr 28 - 06:14 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Considering Avatar started 75 million and got Billion, that is a reasonable guess.

And Spider-Man 3 got 400 million and ended at 800-900 million worldwide

Apr 28 - 06:17 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

1. Avatar dropped 1% its 2nd weekend. Won't happen here.

2. Foreign markets are larger now, add in 3D, plus it already made 200 million in a few days. The guess is way too low. Just saying.

Apr 28 - 06:25 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Considering it only made 198 million in 2 weeks over seas proves it won't be going higher than 1 billion. Avatar made 212 million it's second week in America ONLY. It won't make it to 1 billion. And don't say well some countries are poor because China, which has 1/6 of the worlds population, also has one of the fastest growing economies. Then, their is Europe which heavily enjoys film. It won't make much in it's first weekend, nor will it beat the 1 billion mark. Plus, there is the fact that neither Iron Man 1 or 2 didn't even reach 1 billion. Iron Man 2 made 600 million. Add a 20% which is for 3d and you get 720 million, so you can't say 'Well, it wasn't 3D'. Just saying.

Apr 28 - 06:44 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

It came out in UK on April 17

Apr 28 - 06:51 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

2 weeks overseas? its been 3-5 days in almost all countries.

And I don't know where you're getting your numbers for Avatar...but they're not right.
Also, what brought up China being poor? Am I being trolled?

Apr 28 - 06:52 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

http://www.chacha.com/question/how-much-money-did-avatar-make-in-the-first-week

And only an idiot thinks people are trolling him when he first commented on me.

Apr 28 - 06:56 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

Read carefully, thats how much it made in 10 days.

Technically, since i started this thread, you commented on me first.

Just kidding. Good debate. We'll see who is right soon enough.

Apr 28 - 07:02 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

I'll say it has a 45% chance of making 1 billion. 10% chance of beating Avenger. 3% chance of beating Avatar.

Apr 28 - 07:08 PM

Phillip P.

Phil Payton

It didn't come out April 17th it came out April 26th in the UK.

May 1 - 06:20 AM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

Okay, Mr. Cutler. It's on.

Firstly, I live in China, and it's in no way poor.

Secondly, it has 0 chance of beating Avatar, but it has around 70% chance of passing a billion. I don't know about wherever you live, but in China, Iron Man 3 is a much bigger deal than Iron Man 1 was. It's simply more commercial. Not only that, but the Chinese go crazy when a Hollywood film has not only a scene in China, but has a few of the most famous Chinese actors alive today.

Thirdly, someone who bases all their facts on chacha.com is in no way a good source for whoever is reading this forum and wanting to get a decent prediction.

Fourthly, there is no chance in hell, which I assume is your hometown, that Iron Man 3 will receive a lower gross than Spider-Man 3.

Lastly, this comment is in no way biased, as I didn't even LIKE Iron Man 3. It was a pointless film that had me bored to the skin.

So, Cutler (Just Cutler), if you like percentages so much, here's one. There is an 80% chance that you are a dork with no friends to annoy so you go around annoying the RT community, and a 100% chance that you're a twat. Good day, Cutler, you just got schooled.

May 2 - 07:45 AM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

He doesn't really seem to know fuck all about box office. If Iron Man 3 makes only $89 million, it'll be billed as a big disappointment. It'll be making WAY more than that opening weekend. $150 million opening weekend is a valid estimate. $89 million is not.

Iron Man 3 is already at $242.1 million overseas and it opened in most places Thursday/Friday, April 25th/26th. That's pretty freaking huge for a comic book movie. It's already a quarter of a way to $1 billion and it hasn't even opened in N.A. yet.

May 1 - 12:28 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Avatar made 79 million.

May 1 - 04:31 PM

Mitchell Nash

Mitchell Nash

No, Avatar made $77.0 million opening weekend in December, a month which has lower opening weekends and better legs than other months. The highest opening weekend in December was just set a few months ago with The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey when it made $84.6 million on opening weekend to a total of $303 million. Avatar is the third highest grossing weekend of December behind I Am Legend [only $186,000 ahead of Avatar].

If you're going to make comparisons for box office, you do it to similar movies and similar dates. Avatar is a HUGE exception, not the norm. It went on to gross $749.8 million [before the special edition]. The opening gross only accounts for 10.3% of that total, almost unheard of these days, especially for a movie that opened so wide and with such a large opening weekend. Here are some big comic-book hero movies as comparisons for Iron Man 3:

The Avengers - $207.4 M opening/$623.4 M total [33.3%]
TDKR - $160.9 M opening/$448.1 M total [35.9%]
TDK - $158.4 M opening/$533.3 M total [29.7%]
Spider-Man 3 - $151.1 M opening/$336.5 M total [44.9%]
Iron Man 2 - $128.1 M opening/$312.4 M [41.0%]
Spider-Man - $114.8 M opening/$403.7 M total [28.4%]
X-Men 3 - $102.8 M opening/$234.4 total [43.8%]
Iron Man - $98.6 M opening/$318.4 M total [31.0%]
X-Men 2 - $85.6 M opening/$214.9 total [39.8%]
Wolverine - $85.1 M opening/$179.9 total [47.3%]

As you can see, for any move that grossed roughly the amount you're saying for opening weekend or more, it only accounts for anywhere from 28.4% to 47.35 of the total box office gross. If Iron Man made $89 million like you're suggesting, the best it's likely to make is a $313.4 million total [with a 28.45 of total]. To get $450 million, the opening would have to account for only 19.8% of the total, which is ridiculous.

May 1 - 07:09 PM

Jamie Ensor

Jamie Ensor

Opening Weekend- 160 Million
Domestic- 400 Million
Worldwide Total- 1.2 Billion

Apr 28 - 02:03 PM

Greg Symanski

Greg Symanski

I say 157 mill opening week 80 mill second week

Apr 26 - 06:25 PM

Mac

Joe Jarosz

Also, someone below mentioned the possibility of Thor 2 reaching a $1B. I don't even think Thor deserves a 2nd film. I liked adventures in babysitting Thor more.

Apr 25 - 01:38 PM

Brian Harris

Brian Harris

Thor deserves every film. Anyone who says otherwise is obviously a Frost giant

Apr 26 - 02:42 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

LAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAME

May 2 - 07:47 AM

Mac

Joe Jarosz

There is no chance this is crossing the $1B threshold. I can't see any film this year doing so. The Hobbit has a much broader appeal worldwide, but I still don't see any film getting to $1B this year. However, I will assume this will be one of the most pirated films of the year.

Apr 25 - 01:28 PM

Brian Harris

Brian Harris

You are seriously underestimating the world wide fan base the Marvel films have,especially in Europe and Japan

Apr 26 - 02:43 PM

Manas Rai

Manas Rai

I think this film will make $350 million domestically but total gross will be around $800-$900 million. Come on guys lets face it the first two films did not even cross $650 million, the chances of this crossing $1 billion is less but if it does, it is a great thing. The People who saw avengers were fans of four major superheroes and and it grossed $1.5 billion and I don't think the fans of all superheroes will watch this.

Apr 25 - 04:01 AM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

Quite true. The Avengers wasn't just a movie, it was a cinematic event that had been building up for four years. While Iron Man 3 will definitely make about around the amount you estimated thanks to the goodwill from Avengers, there is no way that it'll be that big of a success.

Apr 25 - 01:02 PM

Tim Terrell

Tim Terrell

Are you saying people who saw Avengers were the combined fans of the four heroes, and that is why it made so much money? And only the fans of Iron Man will see this, not the fans of Thor Cap, etc? That flawed. Comic book fans (whether they read thor comics or not) went to see all four heroes movies. More general audience went to see Iron Man because of Robert Downey Jr. And the modern setting. When Avengers came out, all of the comic book fans and general audience including non comic book fans, families, etc. and people jumping on the band wagon. Avengers opened up a whole new audience to all of the Avengers separate franchises, which mean potentially, Iron Man 3 can garner the audience of Avengers plus the people who saw Avengers for the first time on DVD. Those people don't want to be "left out" of the loop now. There is no reason why IM3 can't beat Avengers box office. It has the biggest stars from Avengers. It has the biggest star from Avengers: RDJ.

Apr 29 - 11:48 AM

Marcus Ciubal

Marcus Ciubal

I predict a $170 million opening weekend gross.
Total Domestic = $550 million
Worldwide = $1.25 billion

Apr 25 - 03:16 AM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

that'd be nice

Apr 25 - 09:13 AM

Judge Nikhil

nikhil bhardwaj

it may cross avengers but can it break avatar's record

Apr 24 - 09:06 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

Unfortunately, no. But I hate both films anyways.

May 2 - 07:49 AM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

New info says it's tracking for at least $160 million. My guess is looking pretty good so far.

Apr 24 - 08:34 PM

Nelson Verdejo

Nelson Verdejo

I predict $140 million opening weekend ... somewhere between $300 and $400 mill total domestic ... and probably just shy of $1 billion world wide or it might cross 1 billion but just barely

Apr 23 - 01:56 PM

Brian Harris

Brian Harris

a fuck-ton

Apr 23 - 01:51 AM

hollis m.

hollis mills

my guess...alot

Apr 19 - 09:54 PM

Steven Potgeter

Steven Potgeter

Worldwide total: $0-$3 billion. My track record is spotless

Apr 19 - 10:48 AM

Nihal Bhat

Nihal Bhat

only 1 film will reach 1 billion this year -man of steel
hobbit 1 sucked balls, and people are not going to be lining up for hobbit 2.

Apr 18 - 10:56 PM

Bad Ash J. Gilmore

Bad Ash J. Gilmore

The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey was great and even if it did suck people would still line up to see it.

Apr 19 - 08:49 PM

Nihal Bhat

Nihal Bhat

it was not a great film. on RT its only 6.6/10 with 66% rating. that is not anywhere near great. it is in the good category only.

Apr 20 - 06:06 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

That's subjective, Nihal. A rating doesn't mean shit.

Apr 23 - 01:08 AM

Shritan Varma

Shritan Varma

hobbit was not great but it was still a good 3d movie....yeah and frank is right.....by the way man of steel will not cross im3....if anything can beat the avengers in the next two years it has to be a marvel movie

Apr 23 - 01:56 AM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

If there are any movies that could possibly beat the Avengers, those would be Avengers 2, Star Wars Episode VII and Avatar 2.

Apr 23 - 03:13 PM

Brynn Rigor

Brynn Rigor

There are a lot of movies that are rated like that but still managed to be a Great impact on the audience. Do not base your opinion on what others think or on a rating.

Apr 25 - 01:29 AM

scifimark

scifi mark

You are completely underestimating the overseas numbers for the hobbit and tolkein in general. The actual fan reaction is on the same level as fellowship of the ring and these movies do tremendous overseas since its a european ip.

Apr 25 - 08:53 AM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

Hey, David Tanny, what the hell are you doing on Rotten Tomatoes if the rating "doesn't mean shit"? Are you seriously just here to troll? Well, good job.

May 2 - 07:52 AM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

What are we talking about, Iron Man 3 or The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug?

Apr 20 - 03:39 AM

Herson Cruz

Herson Cruz

You're insane if you think a reboot is going to make $1B.

Apr 22 - 01:01 PM

Nihal Bhat

Nihal Bhat

hi herson. where are the "rules" that state reboots can't make $1bn? skyfall, was a totally different film than the bomb quantum of solace, and made $1bn, and that was 2d not 3d. superman has as good a fan base as bond. its easier to get $1bn these days with 3d, price inflation..dont need to sell as many tix.

Apr 23 - 01:01 AM

Shritan Varma

Shritan Varma

mr . bhatt, this is an iron man 3 forum....if you wanna talk about man of steel this is not the right place

Apr 23 - 01:57 AM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

Skyfall wasn't the reboot. That was Casino Royale, which made $599 million. And don't forget that the disdain towards Superman Returns may affect how well the movie does. A billion is a bit of a stretch, but I think it will make somewhere between $600-$700 million.

Apr 23 - 03:16 PM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

That's a woman?

Apr 26 - 12:49 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

Monica Hickey: The most bizarre poster on RT.

Apr 26 - 02:46 PM

Jeremy Dizon

Jeremy Dizon

Give me a good example of a reboot that made $1bn or close to it and then we will all agree with you. If your example is Skyfall then you're just a myopic DC/Superman fan. As Christopher said Casino Royale was the reboot, as was The Amazing Spiderman, The Incredible Hulk, GoldenEye, Star-Trek, and none of those ever came close to $1bn.

Apr 28 - 11:24 AM

Herson Cruz

Herson Cruz

Skyfall was the THIRD installment in the rebooted series. The highest grossing reboot so far is Amazing Spider-man, which made around $800k - which is also where I see MOS getting when it is said and done.

Apr 28 - 12:56 PM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

Actually TASM made $752.2k.

Apr 28 - 02:26 PM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

I see "Iron Man 3" hitting between 150-165 million it's opening weekend and reaching 375-425 million domestic. I think worldwide it's at least good for 900 million and if gets that extra "Avengers like boost, possibly as much as 1.1 billion worldwide. It definantly should be in the strong running for highest grossing film this year at the box office both domestic and worldwide.

Apr 18 - 10:14 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

Ok. New Question.

Which 2013 films, if any, will hit $1 billion worldwide?

1. Iron Man 3
2. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Some other films with a chance that I don't think will do it.
Man of Steel
Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Star Trek Into Darkness
Fast and Furious 6

Apr 18 - 08:49 AM

Caleb P.

Caleb Paasche

I think the only four that have any chance are Iron Man 3, Hobbit, Man of Steel and Catching Fire. I'd bet that at least one of them gets it, but I don't know which.

Apr 18 - 04:32 PM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

The Hobbit 2 is the only movie of 2013 that has a truly legit shot at reaching a billion, though somewhat doubtful considering that the first didn't live up to the Lord of the Rings and it only reached a billion once it reached China. Iron Man 3 will probably make around $900 million at the highest, but the chances of it reaching a billion is kind of slim unless the 3-D pulls through on that (since it has somehow managed to stay popular overseas) and depending on how much The Avengers will affect the "Phase Two" movies.

As for the other four movies, Man of Steel has no chance of reaching it. Plenty of people look at Superman Returns with disdain (though it is much better than Superman III and The Quest for Peace) and it will affect how the next one does (Batman and Robin affected how Batman Begins did). The highest grossing reboot so far is The Amazing Spider-Man ($752.2 million), and I don't see it making anywhere near that amount. I only see it making around $600 at the most.

Catching Fire or Iron Man 3 will probably end up being the highest grossing films of 2013 in the US/Canada. The first made $408 million, but it only made $278.5 million overseas. It'll make more than the first, but it will really have to appeal to the overseas markets in order to reach a billion, which is a stretch.

Star Trek Into Darkness has no chance. I see it making more than $300 million in the US. But one thing that needs to be remembered is that the Star Trek franchise has NEVER been all that appealing to foreign countries. The previous one only made almost $128 million overseas. Though it is trying to get a little bit of appeal with the marketing, I can only see it making around $500 million at most. And it also doesn't help that it'll be competing against Hangover 3 and Fast and Furious 6 a week after its release.

Fast and Furious 6 will benefit from goodwill from Fast Five, which took the series out of the stump it was in. I can see it making between $650-$700 million.

Apr 19 - 10:04 AM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

Then if people said that The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug sucks, they wouldn't watch The Hobbit: There and Back Again.

Apr 20 - 06:31 AM

Nihal Bhat

Nihal Bhat

hobbit will drop from the 1st one.
iron man 3 reviews are middling, script is weak, no billion
man of steel has the best shot, looks amazing. nolan and goyer created the concept. in Nolan i trust!!
star trek no chance at all. its chance is 0%. the fanbase just isn't there overseas, it'll do average there. but DOM huge fanbase, and will do 350m nearly.

Apr 20 - 06:09 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

you have no idea if Iron Man 3's reviews are "middling"

Apr 20 - 07:44 PM

Shritan Varma

Shritan Varma

most likely iron man 3 because outside america iron man is very popular and more than the rest of these other movies, like n india, superhero movies earna lot of money.....

Apr 23 - 01:59 AM

Nelson Verdejo

Nelson Verdejo

films i think have a chance at 1 billion worldwide this year:

1. Man of Steel
2. Star Trek into Darkness
3. Iron Man 3
4. Catching Fire
5. Hobbit part 2
6. Thor: The Dark World

Apr 23 - 01:59 PM

Cole Jaeger

Cole Jaeger

Maybe Great Gatsby. Probably not but maybe.

May 1 - 04:32 PM

Roger Keen

Roger Keen

Being sandwiched between Iron Man 3 and Star Trek Into Darkness Gatsby has 0% chance.

May 2 - 08:39 AM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

This will most likely have an opening weekend north of $140 million. At the end of its run, it will probably make somewhere between $350-$375 million in the US/Canada, and somewhere between $700-$800 million worldwide. There's little chance that it will reach $1 billion. The only movie this year that has a truly legit shot at that is The Hobbit 2, but even that one is doubtful considering that the first wasn't as big as plenty thought it would be.

Apr 12 - 06:42 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

I disagree. I think there is no doubt the Hobbit will hit 1 billion. The first one did and the 2nd one involves fighting a dragon. C'mon.

Apr 13 - 07:34 AM

Eldest2005

Christopher Aull

Huh, I did not consider that. Seeing Smaug in full is definitely going to rouse some excitement. But the reason I have doubts that it will reach a billion is because The Hobbit wasn't quite as a big a hit as I thought it would be and it took China to reach a billion. I was thinking that with all the hype around The Hobbit (probably among the most highly-awaited films in the past decade) and with the addition of 3-D and IMAX, I was thinking it would make more than Return of the King did ($1,119.9). But when The Hobbit was made into a trilogy, some people have taken the "wait and see" approach. Plus, while the movie was mostly decently received by audiences and fans, it didn't WOW like the trilogy did and plenty were even disappointed for not matching its standards. So while this does have a shot at making a billion, considering how the first was received, it's difficult to see it happening again.

Apr 13 - 10:12 AM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

I agree and i disagree with you. I definantly don't see 4 films reaching a billion like last year, no chance of that happening. Personally i think "Iron Man 3" & "The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug" are the only films that have a realistic shot at reaching 1 billion this year.

Apr 18 - 10:03 PM

Ash Gilmore

Ash J. Gilmore

$700 million worldwide

Apr 11 - 06:03 PM

Jacob S.

Jacob Stevenson

If it makes 1 billion, that will be quite the feat. Lots of blockbusters coming out this summer which will make it hard for any movie to make that much.

Apr 11 - 05:56 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

Movies are so front-loaded now that Iron Man should be most of the way there before Star Trek comes out two weeks later.

Apr 12 - 06:00 PM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

You make a good point, and considering "Iron Man 3" opens in some countries 2 weeks before it opens here in the US, it should indeed get a strong running start.

Apr 18 - 10:20 PM

Tony Stark

sam varma

yeah higher than skyfall but it has a chance to beat avengers

Apr 10 - 11:25 PM

John Tyler

Tylerambo: First John Part II

Beat The Avengers at the box office? No, I don't think so.

Apr 13 - 08:18 AM

Tony Stark

sam varma

no it has a huge chance because after seeing avengers people will see this too

Apr 14 - 02:47 AM

John Tyler

Tylerambo: First John Part II

Maybe. We'll just have to see.

Apr 14 - 12:44 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

It has almost no chance to make more than the Avengers.

Part of the reason why the Avengers made so much was that it was an cinematic even that combined a bunch of movies.

Plus is was a fun movie that even younger kids could watch.

Finally, it got great reviews and had amazing word-of-mouth.
I can't see Iron Man 3 matching the Avengers in any of these things.

Apr 16 - 06:23 AM

Caleb P.

Caleb Paasche

Yeah, there is really no way that this beats the Avengers. The Avengers was made into a huge movie event, and there's no way that Iron man 3 can top that.

Apr 18 - 04:34 PM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

It has no chance in hell of reaching "The Avengers" numbers and here's why. For one "The Avengers" was a culmination of six iconic superheroes coming together on the big screen for the first time, it was an event at a level to just too big for "Iron Man 3" or any solo superhero film to touch box office wise, believe me. Two your not talking about 1 billion, 1.1, 1.2 or 1.3 billion, you talking about over 1.5 billion. You study and understand the history of those numbers before you make such bold claims my friend.

Apr 18 - 10:08 PM

Shritan Varma

Shritan Varma

lets see and just not predict mr brooks

Apr 23 - 02:00 AM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

Hey everyone, I found something! I was on Box Office Mojo and there were Twitter comments. One of them said that this film might pass Iron Man 2's $623 million by Sunday. This means that Iron Man 3 COULD beat the $1.5 billion performance of The Avengers. And that's no joke.

May 1 - 04:07 PM

Johnny Ross

Johnny Ross

a cinematic event**
sorry i was tired

May 1 - 07:17 PM

John Tyler

Tylerambo: First John Part II

Higher than Skyfall but lower than The Avengers.

Apr 10 - 06:52 PM

Monica Hickey

Monica Hickey

No way it will match The Avengers.

Apr 10 - 06:09 PM

Nihal Bhat

Nihal Bhat

itll get a bit over 1/2 the avengers roughly

Apr 23 - 01:02 AM

Help | About | Jobs | Critics Submission | Press | API | Licensing | Mobile