Box Office Guru Wrapup: Pain & Gain Tops Wimpy Weekend

For the ninth time in ten tries, Michael Bay saw his latest directorial effort open at number one as the action-comedy Pain & Gain debuted on top of a sluggish box office frame with an estimated $20M. Headlined by Mark Wahlberg and Dwayne Johnson, the R-rated Paramount release averaged a respectable $6,103 from 3,277 theaters. The action director's only film to not hit number one was his 2005 disaster The Island. He then made only Transformers movies until Pain.

With a reported budget of only $26M, Pain & Gain was a pet project for Bay which he got the studio to allow in exchange for his agreement to direct a fourth Transformers. The last pic grossed a staggering $1.1 billion worldwide and part 4 - set to be made on a smaller scale - will feature a new cast that includes Wahlberg with a release set for June 27 of next year - two weeks after a fourth Jurassic Park.

Pain earned mixed reviews and skewed towards young men. Studio research showed that males made up 51% while 63% were over 25. Following Snitch and G.I. Joe: Retaliation, The Rock has now spent ten consecutive weeks in the top ten and could very well extend the streak into late June with Fast & Furious 6 which arrives on May 24.

Leading a sluggish frame, Pain & Gain topped the second worst weekend of 2013 with the top ten grossing only $77.1M. Only Super Bowl weekend was worse this year with the top ten slumping to a mere $65M. Ticket sales are set to skyrocket next weekend with the much-hyped release of Iron Man 3 in more than 4,000 theaters including 3D and IMAX 3D screens. As is often the case before the summer blockbusters arrive, some exhibitors are raising ticket prices on moviegoers with New Yorkers going to AMC Lincoln Square now being charged $21.50 per ticket for sure-fire juggernauts Iron Man 3 and Star Trek Into Darkness on IMAX 3D.

Disney launched its summer tentpole Iron Man 3 overseas this weekend, a week ahead of domestic, and was met with gargantuan grosses with an estimated haul of $195.3M from 42 markets. That beat out the $185.1M international opening of The Avengers from 39 territories from one year ago this same frame. Many Asian markets witnessed all-time record breaking opening weekends with the metal hero while others like Australia and India enjoyed bows that were better than Avengers from last year. Major markets like China, Russia, Germany, and of course North America have yet to launch but Iron Man 3 could very well be on its way to the prestigious billion-dollar club worldwide.

Lukewarm word-of-mouth kicked in for Tom Cruise's sci-fi drama Oblivion which fell sharply by 53% in its second weekend domestically to an estimated $17.4M. After ten days, the Universal release has amassed $64.7M from North America. The actor's better-liked sci-fi pic Minority Report opened to similar numbers but dipped by 40% in the second weekend for $73.4M in ten days. Look for Oblivion to end its domestic run with about $100M. Worldwide, the futuristic pic is within striking distance of the double century mark at $198.8M.

Falling 40% in its third at-bat was the baseball drama 42 with an estimated $10.7M. The Warner Bros. hit has collected a sturdy $69.1M to date. If the older-skewing film can hold up well against the younger-playing summer tentpoles about to attack the box office, then it still has a shot at reaching $100M.

The all-star comedy The Big Wedding was rejected by moviegoers entering the charts at number four with an estimated $7.5M. Lionsgate averaged a dismal $2,848 from 2,633 theaters with the R-rated nuptials pic which boasted an impressive cast featuring Robert De Niro, Diane Keaton, Susan Sarandon, Robin Williams, Katherine Heigl, Amanda Seyfried, and Topher Grace. Reviews were dreadful and the marketing push was typical for a film dumped out at the end of April. With summer blockbusters beginning their invasion of multiplexes on the first weekend of May, the latter part of April is a time when studios toss out content they have little faith in. Wedding skewed 77% female and 66% over 30 while earning a disappointing C+ CinemaScore grade.

The durable DreamWorks toon The Croods followed in fifth place with an estimated $6.6M, off 29%, for a hefty cume of $163M. The Fox release now joins Identity Thief as the only films this year to spend six weeks in the top five. The overseas total soared to $308M pushing the global gross to $471M with the half-billion dollar barrier about to crumble soon.

The rest of the top ten was uneventful as spring leftovers racked up a few dollars in the final week before all attention shifts to Tony Stark at 9:00pm this Thursday night. G.I. Joe: Retaliation declined 37% to an estimated $3.6M giving Paramount $116.4M to date. With a stellar $50M from China, the global tally now stands at $349.1M. Booted off the top five in its third round was the spoof comedy Scary Movie 5 which fell 44% to an estimated $3.5M and only $27.5M to date.

The action hit Olympus Has Fallen took in an estimated $2.8M, down 38%, for a $93.1M cume for FilmDistrict. The Place Beyond The Pines and the dinosmash Jurassic Park 3D rounded out the top ten with $2.7M and $2.3M, respectively. The Focus indie pic dropped 45% for a $16.2M total while Universal's upgraded actioner fell 43% to a sum of $42M and a lifetime total of $399.1M.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $77.1 which was down 15% from last year when Think Like A Man stayed at number one with $17.6M; and down 45% from 2011 when Fast Five opened in the top spot with $86.2M.

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Comments

King Crunk

King Crunk

Saw Place Beyond the Pines this weekend, thought it was fantastic. My only real complaint was the same many critics had, which is that it felt like it could have been longer and not suffered at all.

Apr 28 - 01:51 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Well, 2 hours is a pretty long run-time. I felt they should've made a sequel and focused on Gosling/Bradley's portion more in the first. Then, in the second, focus on the 15 years later part.

Apr 28 - 01:57 PM

Jennifer Siletzky

Jennifer Siletzky

I know a movie is good when i find myself discussing it after the movie, but more importantly thinking about it throughout the next day. I saw it last night, thought it was wonderful, but I'm not sure how it could've been split into two without the full circle being as clear. The impact one person can make on your life reverberated through the children, and I think it was important to make that connection in one single movie. On another note, not sure how happy I would've been sitting for another hour. Either way, the movie was great and the acting was superb.

Apr 29 - 04:17 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

Well said. Too good for a response to Jerry.

Apr 29 - 05:06 PM

Dave J

Dave J

Well, just the same if you clicked onto his username-he still liked "Place Beyond The Pines" which is all that matters!

Apr 29 - 05:24 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I do not mind an epic run time in a movie if the movie warrants it, and I think Pines most definitely did. I wanted more time with Luke and Avery before their stories inevitably collided.

Apr 29 - 09:31 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

And I agree that the movie would have felt incomplete if they had divided it into a sequel; the themes and ideas demand the fifteen years later segment be present to make the film whole.

Apr 29 - 09:33 PM

Brad and Netflix

Bradly Martin

I thought the major complaint was how awful the Third act is?

Apr 28 - 03:06 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I did not think the third act was awful, it just does not have the same impact the first two do. I feel that with a three hour plus run time, Cianfrance could have made a film on par with classic epic dramas.

Apr 28 - 11:53 PM

Dave J

Dave J

"it felt like it could have been longer and not suffered at all"

Maybe theirs going to be a longer extended version coming out on Blu Ray and DVD!

Apr 29 - 05:24 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I hope so, Dave, I would love to see Avery's life before the big events of the movie (trying to avoid spoilers here), as well as had more of Luke's journey chronicled.

Apr 29 - 09:34 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Well, I thought that Pain & Gain was Bay's best film. It was pretty intense near the end. And Walhberg and I were really impressive as the leads. I, however, felt it was let down by it's Michael Bay esque-humor.

Plus, 20 million opening day is decent, not wimpy.

I would be anticipating Iron Man 3, but people are complaining about the scene which was unfortunately spoiled because of WIKIPEDIA! And another scene was also hated.

Apr 28 - 01:54 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Well, 2 hours is a pretty long run-time. I felt they should've made a sequel and focused on Gosling/Bradley's portion more in the first. Then, in the second, focus on the 15 years later part.

Apr 28 - 01:57 PM

Jennifer Siletzky

Jennifer Siletzky

I know a movie is good when i find myself discussing it after the movie, but more importantly thinking about it throughout the next day. I saw it last night, thought it was wonderful, but I'm not sure how it could've been split into two without the full circle being as clear. The impact one person can make on your life reverberated through the children, and I think it was important to make that connection in one single movie. On another note, not sure how happy I would've been sitting for another hour. Either way, the movie was great and the acting was superb.

Apr 29 - 04:17 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

Well said. Too good for a response to Jerry.

Apr 29 - 05:06 PM

Dave J

Dave J

Well, just the same if you clicked onto his username-he still liked "Place Beyond The Pines" which is all that matters!

Apr 29 - 05:24 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I do not mind an epic run time in a movie if the movie warrants it, and I think Pines most definitely did. I wanted more time with Luke and Avery before their stories inevitably collided.

Apr 29 - 09:31 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

And I agree that the movie would have felt incomplete if they had divided it into a sequel; the themes and ideas demand the fifteen years later segment be present to make the film whole.

Apr 29 - 09:33 PM

Caleb P.

Caleb Paasche

I would hardly call "The Island" a disaster, it ended up making over $160 million world wide. Even though the budget was high, there have been many worse failures. Anyway, didn't see anything this week, just waiting for Iron Man 3.

Apr 28 - 02:30 PM

Brad and Netflix

Bradly Martin

I thought the major complaint was how awful the Third act is?

Apr 28 - 03:06 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I did not think the third act was awful, it just does not have the same impact the first two do. I feel that with a three hour plus run time, Cianfrance could have made a film on par with classic epic dramas.

Apr 28 - 11:53 PM

Dave J

Dave J

"it felt like it could have been longer and not suffered at all"

Maybe theirs going to be a longer extended version coming out on Blu Ray and DVD!

Apr 29 - 05:24 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I hope so, Dave, I would love to see Avery's life before the big events of the movie (trying to avoid spoilers here), as well as had more of Luke's journey chronicled.

Apr 29 - 09:34 PM

Typhon

Typhon Q

"Part 4 - set to be made on a smaller scale." I'd like to see what they define as "smaller scale."

Apr 28 - 06:31 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

It only costs 200 million to produce, not 250.

Apr 28 - 11:57 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

Just a shout out for "Mud" which barely missed the top ten with $2.18 million for a $6,022 average. Unfortunately, it wasn't in my town, but I hope it holds up.

Apr 28 - 06:57 PM

Bigbrother

Big Brother

Any word on if/when they're expanding Mud?

Apr 28 - 07:37 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

I heard if the people demanded it, it would spread

Apr 28 - 07:41 PM

Valmordas

Val Mordas

And then get stabbed 141 times in the face and neck...

Apr 29 - 10:56 AM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Wow, 2 retard people trolling me again. Let's see how long you last on RT.

Apr 29 - 12:35 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

No. I think it'll be good to get to "Pines" 1500 screens, but I don't know when that'll be.

Apr 29 - 11:42 AM

Bigbrother

Big Brother

Any word on if/when they're expanding Mud?

Apr 28 - 07:37 PM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

I heard if the people demanded it, it would spread

Apr 28 - 07:41 PM

Valmordas

Val Mordas

And then get stabbed 141 times in the face and neck...

Apr 29 - 10:56 AM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Wow, 2 retard people trolling me again. Let's see how long you last on RT.

Apr 29 - 12:35 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

No. I think it'll be good to get to "Pines" 1500 screens, but I don't know when that'll be.

Apr 29 - 11:42 AM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

I heard if the people demanded it, it would spread

Apr 28 - 07:41 PM

Valmordas

Val Mordas

And then get stabbed 141 times in the face and neck...

Apr 29 - 10:56 AM

Killer Jay

Jay Catler

Wow, 2 retard people trolling me again. Let's see how long you last on RT.

Apr 29 - 12:35 PM

Kain Dragoon

Kain Dragoon

I saw pain and gain and I actually liked it. It was not the worst movie I seen and I have seen many of bad movies. Pearl harbor comes to mind 3 hours of my life I will never get back. *shudders *

Apr 28 - 08:26 PM

Christian F.

Christian Flores

While everyone else is watching IM3, I'll be watching The Iceman :)

Apr 28 - 08:46 PM

David Steinmetz

David Steinmetz

I do not understand the endless appetite for superhero movies.

Apr 28 - 09:16 PM

Dave J

Dave J

If money can be made after the colossal juggernaut called "The Avengers" grossing more than the "The Dark Knight"! Producers are basically only complying what the general audience want to watch!

Apr 29 - 01:26 PM

dethburger

dethburger hates Flixster

I do not understand the endless appetite for romcoms.

Apr 29 - 04:02 PM

Joem Cua Lee

Joem Cua Lee

'The Island' would still be my favorite Bay film. And yes, I'm not my rolling my eyes.

Apr 28 - 09:42 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I did not think the third act was awful, it just does not have the same impact the first two do. I feel that with a three hour plus run time, Cianfrance could have made a film on par with classic epic dramas.

Apr 28 - 11:53 PM

Dave J

Dave J

"it felt like it could have been longer and not suffered at all"

Maybe theirs going to be a longer extended version coming out on Blu Ray and DVD!

Apr 29 - 05:24 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I hope so, Dave, I would love to see Avery's life before the big events of the movie (trying to avoid spoilers here), as well as had more of Luke's journey chronicled.

Apr 29 - 09:34 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

It only costs 200 million to produce, not 250.

Apr 28 - 11:57 PM

zinc alloy

zinc alloy

'Mud' was great..............see it

Apr 29 - 08:54 AM

Andrew Brinkerhoff

Andrew Brinkerhoff

YES, Iron Man 3 is finally here and getting good reviews! Looking forward to seeing it this weekend (and then "Star Trek" a few weeks after).

Apr 29 - 10:06 AM

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