Box Office Guru Preview: Crowe vs. Bale in Box Office Shootout
Western and Shoot 'Em Up set to shoot it out for box office.
Batman takes on Cinderella Man at the box office as the Russell Crowe-Christian Bale Western remake 3:10 to Yuma heads into the multiplexes over what is traditionally a tumbleweed weekend in the marketplace. More action comes in the form of Shoot 'Em Up which pits Clive Owen against Paul Giamatti while those craving comedy get the new laugher The Brothers Solomon. With summer gone and most students back in school, Hollywood has decided to roll out nothing but R-rated films this weekend.
Hoping to bounce back from last year's critical and commercial disaster A Good Year, Oscar winner Russell Crowe leads the charge and aims for his first trip to the number one spot in nearly four years with 3:10 to Yuma. Directed by James Mangold (Walk the Line), the update on the 1957 semi-classic finds Bale playing a down-on-his-luck family man who takes the job of delivering a captured outlaw (Crowe) to the authorities. Having two strong actors face each other on screen is usually a good thing and here the starpower should help bring in audiences. Reviews have been solid and since this genre plays to a more mature adult audience, the opinions of critics will make a big difference. The marketing push from Lionsgate has been commendable and with few other interesting new choices out there, Yuma should carve out its own space. Heading into 2,652 theaters, 3:10 to Yuma could open with roughly $14M over the Friday-to-Sunday period.

Russell Crowe and Peter Fonda in 3:10 to Yuma.
For cinemagoers who want even more bullets flying across their screens, New Line is offering up the modern-day crime thriller Shoot 'Em Up. The R-rated film stars Clive Owen as the good guy on the run, Paul Giamatti as the bad guy with a gun, and Monica Bellucci as a hooker out for fun. Just as with Yuma, the film will skew more male but will probably play a bit younger. Competition will be a big factor since the pic has some big guns it's going up against. Starpower is also lacking as the actors, though well-respected creatively, are not big ticket sellers as leads. Opening nationally, Shoot 'Em Up might debut to about $8M this weekend.

Paul Giamatti, in a strict departure from his Lady in the Water character.
Will Forte and Will Arnett, two funnymen with little pull at the box office, team up for the new comedy The Brothers Solomon from Sony. The R-rated pic from director Bob Odenkirk (Let's Go To Prison) finds the two playing siblings on a wacky quest to fulfill their dying father's wish of having a grandson. With little starpower, the film is not likely to score much business over the weekend as most interested fans will wait for the DVD. Opening in about 650 locations, The Brothers Solomon could bow to less than $2M.

The Wills (Forte and Arnett) in The Brothers Solomon.
After its record-breaking opening weekend, Halloween should fall sharply in the sophomore session since intense fan interest brought out everyone upfront. The three-day gross could drop by 60% to about $11M giving MGM and The Weinstein Company $45M after ten days. With the new action titles likely to skew older, Superbad could be in for another solid frame. A 45% dip to around $7M may be in order giving McLovin and gang a cume of $102M.
LAST YEAR: The worst box office weekend of 2006 was led by the modest opening of the thriller The Covenant which debuted with only $8.9M which was enough to capture the crown. The Sony pic went on to gross $23.3M overall. Opening with weak results in second was the Ben Affleck starrer Hollywoodland with only $5.9M on its way to $14.4M for Focus. Following two weeks at number one, the football drama Invincible dropped to third with $5.6M for Buena Vista. The Weinstein Company's Thai actioner The Protector premiered in fourth with $5M leading to only $12M. The Jason Statham action pic Crank ranked fifth with $4.9M for Lionsgate.
Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com
Hoping to bounce back from last year's critical and commercial disaster A Good Year, Oscar winner Russell Crowe leads the charge and aims for his first trip to the number one spot in nearly four years with 3:10 to Yuma. Directed by James Mangold (Walk the Line), the update on the 1957 semi-classic finds Bale playing a down-on-his-luck family man who takes the job of delivering a captured outlaw (Crowe) to the authorities. Having two strong actors face each other on screen is usually a good thing and here the starpower should help bring in audiences. Reviews have been solid and since this genre plays to a more mature adult audience, the opinions of critics will make a big difference. The marketing push from Lionsgate has been commendable and with few other interesting new choices out there, Yuma should carve out its own space. Heading into 2,652 theaters, 3:10 to Yuma could open with roughly $14M over the Friday-to-Sunday period.

Russell Crowe and Peter Fonda in 3:10 to Yuma.
For cinemagoers who want even more bullets flying across their screens, New Line is offering up the modern-day crime thriller Shoot 'Em Up. The R-rated film stars Clive Owen as the good guy on the run, Paul Giamatti as the bad guy with a gun, and Monica Bellucci as a hooker out for fun. Just as with Yuma, the film will skew more male but will probably play a bit younger. Competition will be a big factor since the pic has some big guns it's going up against. Starpower is also lacking as the actors, though well-respected creatively, are not big ticket sellers as leads. Opening nationally, Shoot 'Em Up might debut to about $8M this weekend.

Paul Giamatti, in a strict departure from his Lady in the Water character.
Will Forte and Will Arnett, two funnymen with little pull at the box office, team up for the new comedy The Brothers Solomon from Sony. The R-rated pic from director Bob Odenkirk (Let's Go To Prison) finds the two playing siblings on a wacky quest to fulfill their dying father's wish of having a grandson. With little starpower, the film is not likely to score much business over the weekend as most interested fans will wait for the DVD. Opening in about 650 locations, The Brothers Solomon could bow to less than $2M.

The Wills (Forte and Arnett) in The Brothers Solomon.
After its record-breaking opening weekend, Halloween should fall sharply in the sophomore session since intense fan interest brought out everyone upfront. The three-day gross could drop by 60% to about $11M giving MGM and The Weinstein Company $45M after ten days. With the new action titles likely to skew older, Superbad could be in for another solid frame. A 45% dip to around $7M may be in order giving McLovin and gang a cume of $102M.
LAST YEAR: The worst box office weekend of 2006 was led by the modest opening of the thriller The Covenant which debuted with only $8.9M which was enough to capture the crown. The Sony pic went on to gross $23.3M overall. Opening with weak results in second was the Ben Affleck starrer Hollywoodland with only $5.9M on its way to $14.4M for Focus. Following two weeks at number one, the football drama Invincible dropped to third with $5.6M for Buena Vista. The Weinstein Company's Thai actioner The Protector premiered in fourth with $5M leading to only $12M. The Jason Statham action pic Crank ranked fifth with $4.9M for Lionsgate.
Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com
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Bruce Campbell writes: on Sep 06 2007 07:31 PM Woah. (Reply to this) |
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thamoviemann writes: on Sep 06 2007 07:53 PM It will either be Shoot em up or 3:10 to yuma for that number one spot, its going to be a close one-but i do think that 3:10 to yuma will take-dont be surprised it shoot em up takes it though. Brothers Solomon will have a solid and modest run, but that 650 theaters is just too small to consider that a wide release. (Reply to this) |
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Bloody Mathias writes: on Sep 06 2007 10:16 PM 3:10 to Yuma: $20 million. Shoot 'em Up: $13 million. Halloween: $10 million. (Reply to this) |
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TheAnswerMVP2001 writes: on Sep 07 2007 01:28 AM Despite the "critical and commercial disaster" of A Good Year, it's actually one of my favorite films of 2006. Highly underrated, the film's only problem is that no one gave it a chance and automatically shot it down because it wasn't a film they were used to Ridley Scott and Crowe making, what ashame, because I thought it was a nice change. If you haven't seen A Good Year, it's worth a rental and the user rating here on RT is quite positive. On another note, when is Monica Bellucci not playing a hooker...really! (Reply to this) |
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Gimy writes: on Sep 07 2007 04:53 AM halloween...hopefully less than 5 mill. bye bye POS i'd say shoot em up takes #1 because not many youngin's like westerns, its not as universal as a rogue guy kickin' 2ss the way Owen does in SHoot em up. unfortunately i have no time this weekend so...be sure to tell me how kick2ss both movies are on monday! go bears!! (Reply to this) |
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Bigbrother writes: on Sep 07 2007 06:05 AM In reply to this comment (#1103692) Totally agree, A Good Year is massively underrated. It does a fantastic job of doing what it does. It's not massively action packed, but is a great example of how to pace a movie with an actual story to tell and really shows how the actors involved made the characters come alive. (Reply to this) |
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unbreakable_samurai writes: on Sep 07 2007 11:46 AM 3:10 and Shoot'em Up both look sweet, so hopefully I am able to make time to see both of them. And it's fine with me if Bellucci never played anything but a hooker, she is damn fine. But she has definitely played some other roles and very well. Go Broncos. (Reply to this) |
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jaqu7 writes: on Sep 07 2007 12:51 PM A Good Year was a massive bore. I like both Ridley Scott and Crowe, but I have to disagree. Don't rent it unless you're having trouble sleeping. (Reply to this) |
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kendrith1975 writes: on Sep 07 2007 06:39 PM I was a little puzzled at the critical and commerical failure of A GOOD YEAR. Ridley Scott seldom do slow paced or romance movies, but RUSSELL CROWE sort of did before and supposedly should have connected to female audiences when he did A BEAUTIFUL MIND. It was supposed to be an interesting combo and followup for both. Now don't under estimate the appeal of a Western. Even a slumping Kevin Costner can direct OPEN RANCH to a 14 million opening. With Crowe and Bale together, along with some very fine reviews, 3:10 to YUMA should easily top the charts! And I do think it is nice to see both YUMA and SHOOT THEM UP got more than 60% approval rating. It looks like this weekend will top last year's same weekend by another wide margin! (Reply to this) |
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