Box Office Guru Wrapup: Skyfall Is Back On Top

Rise of the Guardians, Breaking Dawn Part 2 round out the top three.



In his fifth round of play, James Bond powered back into the number one spot as Skyfall topped the North American box office for the first time since its debut. With only one weak new film opening wide, the session saw a fight between holdovers driven by which had the lowest declines. With The Hobbit waiting in the wings ready to attack over 4,000 theaters this Friday, the marketplace saw a slowdown with most studios opting not to release anything new that was worthwhile.

Sony reclaimed number one with the spy blockbuster Skyfall which has been enjoying glowing word-of-mouth for over a month now. The 007 smash slipped only 34% to an estimated $11M which was enough to top all competing films. It was the oldest movie of the year to occupy the number one spot beating the weekend of April 13-15 which was led by the fourth weekend of The Hunger Games. With an incredible $261.6M to date, Skyfall is one day away from surpassing The Amazing Spider-Man to become the fifth highest-grossing film of 2012 domestically. Getting up to at least $285M should be possible even with a Middle Earth juggernaut about to crush all foes.

Overseas, the 23rd Bond adventure grossed an estimated $20.3M upping the international total to a staggering $656.6M surpassing The Dark Knight Rises to become the second biggest live-action hit of 2012 internationally after The Avengers. Skyfall's worldwide cume rose to $918.2M making it the top grosser ever for Sony Pictures beating the $890M of 2007's Spider-Man 3. Some key market cumes include $154.5M in the U.K., $74.7M in Germany, $56.5M in France, and $33.5M in Australia. Audiences around the world have been loving Skyfall which should have no problem smashing the $1 billion mark this winter. Sony has not yet secured a date for China where part of the movie is set, but a release sometime in January is expected. Daniel Craig's three Bond films have now amassed an eye-popping $2.1 billion.

Thanks to its holiday theme, Rise of the Guardians enjoyed the lowest decline among all wide releases and climbed up one notch to second place with an estimated $10.5M. Off just 21%, the DreamWorks Animation 3D pic raised its 19-day total to $61.9M which was still far from what the studio normally sees from its pricey kidpics. By comparison, past totals after the third weekend for toons released at this time of year were $108M for last year's Puss in Boots, $109.3M for 2010's Megamind, and $93.6M for 2007's Bee Movie.

But with Guardians having relevant characters for the month of December like Santa Claus and Jack Frost, it should continue to hold up well. The Hobbit will take away some older children next weekend but smaller ones will still have few PG-rated options for the rest of the holiday season. International results were encouraging as Rise took in an estimated $26M making it the number one choice at the overseas box office this weekend. The offshore figure is now up to $90.5M with the worldwide take sitting at $152.4M.

After its three-week reign atop the box office, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 fell down a couple of notches to third place with an estimated $9.2M dropping by a reasonable 47%. That beats out the fourth weekend of Breaking Dawn Part 1 from a year ago which grossed $7.8M after a larger 53% fall. The final Bella pic has taken in $268.7M which stands 4% better than the $259.4M of its predecessor at the same point in its release.

Close behind in fourth but with a lower 32% decline was the Daniel Day-Lewis hit Lincoln with an estimated $9.1M boosting the cume to $97.3M and within striking distance of the century club. The Disney release is the highest-grossing film ever in the actor's career and still has more fuel in the tank as the holiday and awards seasons play on.

Also holding up well was the 3D adventure Life of Pi which slipped by 32% to an estimated $8.3M in its third weekend giving Fox $60.9M after 19 days. Ang Lee's pricey effects-driven film has performed well in Asia with China outgrossing all of North America in the same three weeks with an astounding $68.3M on its way to $100M+. Pi has already grossed more there than The Dark Knight Rises and The Amazing Spider-Man while in India, it has beaten Skyfall. For the weekend, Life of Pi grossed $23.8M from just 11 markets for an international tally of $105.7M and a global take of $166.6M with most of Europe and the rest of the world still to open later this winter.

For the second time in three months, audiences rejected Gerard Butler who anchored back-to-back flops with Playing for Keeps which bowed to an estimated $6M this weekend in sixth place. The PG-13 soccer dad flick averaged a poor $2,115 from 2,837 locations and failed to generate any real excitement among moviegoers. Critics and audiences felt differently about the FilmDistrict release, however. Reviews slammed Keeps across the board while those paying ticket buyers polled by CinemaScore gave a B+ which is a respectable grade.

Audience research indicated that 58% was female and 74% was 25 or older. Adult women are generally less available in early December due to holiday shopping and other end-of-year activities - unless a film comes from a powerful brand. Butler's Chasing Mavericks was also dead on arrival in October when it bowed in 2,000+ theaters but failed to make the top ten with a wimpy $2.3M opening weekend.

The hit video game toon Wreck-It Ralph enjoyed another good weekend grossing an estimated $4.9M in its sixth round, down only 29%, for a cume to date of $164.4M. Disney has taken in an additional $51.1M overseas from 26 territories for a global tally of $215.5M with many international markets still to open closer to Christmas school holidays. FilmDistrict's invasion remake Red Dawn fell 34% to an estimated $4.3M putting the take at $37.3M so far.

The pilot drama Flight followed with an estimated $3.1M, off 30%, giving Paramount a sturdy $86.2M to date. Following its dismal opening, Brad Pitt's gangster pic Killing Them Softly collapsed in its second weekend tumbling 60% to an estimated $2.7M for a ten-day cume of only $11.8M for The Weinstein Co.

Awards hopefuls fighting for nominations and trophies saw plenty of action below the top ten. Focus saw a disappointing platform launch for its Bill Murray pic Hyde Park on Hudson which opened to an estimated $83,280 from four locations for a $20,820 average. That's an underwhelming starting point for a prestige pic hoping to expand into several new markets over the weeks ahead. Specialty films platforming like this often do double or triple the average. Critics clobbered the FDR-hosts-the-royals film making it a tough sell to sophisticated moviegoers who pay plenty of attention to reviews. Murray has also been mostly absent from the Best Actor conversation. Hyde Park expands to a dozen new markets on Friday and six more the following frame where it will test its pull outside of New York and Los Angeles.

A pair of films expanded into wider release this weekend and were met with mild results. Keira Knightley's Anna Karenina went from 384 to 422 sites and grossed an estimated $1.5M for a lukewarm $3,645 average. Focus has taken in $6.6M to date and has earned mixed reviews. The Anthony Hopkins-Helen Mirren pic Hitchcock expanded from 50 to 183 locations and took in an estimated $725,000 for a mild $3,962 average. The Fox Searchlight release has banked just $1.7M and will widen to more than 500 theaters on Friday.

For the third weekend in a row, The Weinstein Co. kept its Oscar hopeful Silver Linings Playbook in the 370-theater range opting not to use a mostly open weekend to expand further. The acclaimed Bradley Cooper-Jennifer Lawrence film grossed an estimated $2.2M, off 28%, and lifted its sum to $14M. The distributor plans to expand during Christmas week when it will also open its Quentin Tarantino epic Django Unchained which hopes to be in the Best Picture conversation too. Argo, a film that has been towards the top of the Oscar buzz list since it was released over two months ago, had another good frame in its ninth round grossing an estimated $1.5M. Warner Bros. has seen $103.1M so far.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $69.2M which was up 8% from last year when New Year's Eve opened at number one with $13M; but down 15% from 2010 when The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader debuted in the top spot with $24M.



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Comments

Isaac

Isaac H

Awesome to see Skyfall still dominating. That film deserves every cent it pulls in.

Dec 9 - 03:45 PM

Jason H.

Jason Huang

still waiting for zero dark thirty :D

Dec 9 - 03:47 PM

Alberto Zeeky

Alberto Zeeky

I know everyone has been talking about Day Lewis winning Best Actor, but I certainly hope Bardem's Silva doesn't go without consideration. He probably put on the most entertaining Bond villain that I've seen. I haven't seen Lincoln and really don't plan on it so I can't entirely say Bardem over Day Lewis, but he better not be snubbed by the Oscars.

Dec 9 - 04:15 PM

Liam Higgins

Liam Higgins

It'd be great to see Bardem do well come the Oscars, but he will probably end up in the Best Supporting Actor category, as Craig is really the main role.

Dec 9 - 04:57 PM

Alberto Zeeky

Alberto Zeeky

Yes, my apologies. That would be the category he should be in, however I haven't heard anything about Bardem even getting a nomination let alone being a lock. If he doesn't have to compete in the same category as Day Lewis it's then Bardem's award to lose.

Dec 9 - 05:31 PM

Kyle McLarty

Kyle McLarty

John Goodman or Tommy Lee Jones will probably win it though because they're each in an Oscar-bate movie. Nature of the beast sadly.

Dec 9 - 07:34 PM

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

I dunno. This could be a Heath Ledger/Dark Knight type victory, where the movie got no awards or really any nominations except for his. The posthumous aspect may have played a role, but you never know, Bardem has a good chance.

Dec 9 - 08:37 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

"Oscar-bate" - interesting phrase.

Dec 9 - 11:24 PM

Jacob Arnett

Jacob Arnett

John Goodman is Oscarbating as we speak.

Dec 10 - 03:11 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

I honestly think Christopher Walken in Seven Psychopaths deserves a nomination. But that's just me.

Dec 9 - 07:35 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

It doesn't arrive to China until January, so I'm waiting...

Dec 10 - 06:12 AM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

I'm all in for John Hawkes from THE SESSIONS. Anyone here see that one?

Dec 9 - 05:41 PM

Ralph

Ralph Myers

Philip Seymour Hoffman all the way, I think i'm the only person who didn't care for Bardem's performance, although I still can't shake off his performance in No Country for Old Men, nothing else compares to that

Dec 9 - 06:29 PM

Zach Thomas

Zach Idiculla

Bardem is Skyfall was good, but no comparison to his haunting performance in No Country for Old Men.

Dec 10 - 01:43 PM

Richard Eckes

Richard Eckes

Interesting opinions...I was hugely disappointed in Skyfall and thought Bardem's performance a hammy joke. Each to his/her own...

Dec 9 - 04:36 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

One more week until The Hobbit!

Dec 9 - 04:52 PM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

Yawn!

Dec 9 - 06:25 PM

Michael Lena

Michael Lena

i am very excited for the Hobbit!

Dec 9 - 06:34 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

Me too!

Dec 9 - 09:07 PM

Liam Higgins

Liam Higgins

It'd be great to see Bardem do well come the Oscars, but he will probably end up in the Best Supporting Actor category, as Craig is really the main role.

Dec 9 - 04:57 PM

Alberto Zeeky

Alberto Zeeky

Yes, my apologies. That would be the category he should be in, however I haven't heard anything about Bardem even getting a nomination let alone being a lock. If he doesn't have to compete in the same category as Day Lewis it's then Bardem's award to lose.

Dec 9 - 05:31 PM

Kyle McLarty

Kyle McLarty

John Goodman or Tommy Lee Jones will probably win it though because they're each in an Oscar-bate movie. Nature of the beast sadly.

Dec 9 - 07:34 PM

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

I dunno. This could be a Heath Ledger/Dark Knight type victory, where the movie got no awards or really any nominations except for his. The posthumous aspect may have played a role, but you never know, Bardem has a good chance.

Dec 9 - 08:37 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

"Oscar-bate" - interesting phrase.

Dec 9 - 11:24 PM

Jacob Arnett

Jacob Arnett

John Goodman is Oscarbating as we speak.

Dec 10 - 03:11 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

I honestly think Christopher Walken in Seven Psychopaths deserves a nomination. But that's just me.

Dec 9 - 07:35 PM

Sebastian O.

Sebastian Ochoa

It doesn't arrive to China until January, so I'm waiting...

Dec 10 - 06:12 AM

Andrew Brinkerhoff

Andrew Brinkerhoff

I'm glad that "Guardians"'s performance at the box office is improving (and it being behind "Bee Movie" in any way financially is a serious offense in my opinion). I didn't think "Skyfall" was as amazing as everyone else here says it is, but it was pretty good, so kudos to Daniel Craig and co. for its success.

Dec 9 - 05:01 PM

Alberto Zeeky

Alberto Zeeky

Yes, my apologies. That would be the category he should be in, however I haven't heard anything about Bardem even getting a nomination let alone being a lock. If he doesn't have to compete in the same category as Day Lewis it's then Bardem's award to lose.

Dec 9 - 05:31 PM

Kyle McLarty

Kyle McLarty

John Goodman or Tommy Lee Jones will probably win it though because they're each in an Oscar-bate movie. Nature of the beast sadly.

Dec 9 - 07:34 PM

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

I dunno. This could be a Heath Ledger/Dark Knight type victory, where the movie got no awards or really any nominations except for his. The posthumous aspect may have played a role, but you never know, Bardem has a good chance.

Dec 9 - 08:37 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

"Oscar-bate" - interesting phrase.

Dec 9 - 11:24 PM

Jacob Arnett

Jacob Arnett

John Goodman is Oscarbating as we speak.

Dec 10 - 03:11 PM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

I'm all in for John Hawkes from THE SESSIONS. Anyone here see that one?

Dec 9 - 05:41 PM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

Yawn!

Dec 9 - 06:25 PM

Ralph

Ralph Myers

Philip Seymour Hoffman all the way, I think i'm the only person who didn't care for Bardem's performance, although I still can't shake off his performance in No Country for Old Men, nothing else compares to that

Dec 9 - 06:29 PM

Zach Thomas

Zach Idiculla

Bardem is Skyfall was good, but no comparison to his haunting performance in No Country for Old Men.

Dec 10 - 01:43 PM

Michael Lena

Michael Lena

i am very excited for the Hobbit!

Dec 9 - 06:34 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

Me too!

Dec 9 - 09:07 PM

Jaxx Raxor

Adam Jones

I'm surprised that this weekend beat last years, but I guess there was such a strong crop of holdovers that it was able to make up for Playing for Keeps weak opening.

Next week will be exciting with An Unexpected Journey coming up. Reviews are not amazing like Fellowship of the Ring but they are decent, and coupled with 3D its guaranteed that it will make above $100 million the opening weekend. How much above that will be interesting.

Dec 9 - 07:19 PM

Kriftonucci

Jim Ylonen

Raoul Silva was gay...

Dec 9 - 07:28 PM

Andrew Targaryen

Andrew Targaryen

I think it was just a mind game he was trying to play, the same way Bond retorted with "What makes you think this is my first time?". Bond certainly isn't gay.

Dec 10 - 05:27 AM

Kyle McLarty

Kyle McLarty

John Goodman or Tommy Lee Jones will probably win it though because they're each in an Oscar-bate movie. Nature of the beast sadly.

Dec 9 - 07:34 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

I honestly think Christopher Walken in Seven Psychopaths deserves a nomination. But that's just me.

Dec 9 - 07:35 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I think it is safe to say Andrew Dominik will not be getting a wide release with his next film.

Dec 9 - 07:57 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

This could very well be true. Poor guy.

Dec 9 - 09:12 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I dunno about you, Crunk, but I loved the hell out of this movie. America didn't want to see a film that punctures the American Dream, and calls Obama a phony like every other politician. I like a well-written movie, if it that means more "talk talk" than audiences who saw the shotgun in the poster were prepared for.

Dec 9 - 11:27 PM

King Crunk

King Crunk

I enjoyed Killing Them Softly quite a bit, as well. I do not mind "talky" movies as long as they are well written, as you said. I remember somebody calling it this year's Drive on another thread, and I think that is probably a fair statement, as they are both films that recieved wide releases but probably should have built up word of mouth over a few weeks in limited play. That said, Drive has already achieved cult classic status, and has benefitted pretty much all involved's careers in some way or another (especially Refn and Gosling); I simply do not see Killing Them Softly having the same effect on Dominik's career. In fact, I would not be surprised if he is having a lot of trouble finding backers for future projects after his latest was hated by audiences (seriously, you do not see the F grade too often on a Cinemascore poll), and severely lacks any awards buzz.

Dec 10 - 02:06 AM

DBrock

David E-Brock

I think the F Cinemascore is more due to the fact that the movie was advertised as Brad Pitt shooting people and that was not what the movie was about. So no surprise that it didn't meet people's expectations.

Dec 10 - 01:03 PM

Jeremy Anderson

Jeremy Anderson

I would agree, it's all about expectations. Not as bad as people who went to Tree of Life expecting and "bratt pitt, sean penn" movie, but along the same lines... some viewers have a difficult time accepting a film for what it is as opposed to what they want it to be.

Dec 10 - 02:16 PM

Cameron Johnson

Cameron Johnson

I dunno. This could be a Heath Ledger/Dark Knight type victory, where the movie got no awards or really any nominations except for his. The posthumous aspect may have played a role, but you never know, Bardem has a good chance.

Dec 9 - 08:37 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

Me too!

Dec 9 - 09:07 PM

David Tanny

David Tanny

This could very well be true. Poor guy.

Dec 9 - 09:12 PM

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