Box Office Guru Wrapup: Hobbit Dominates Global Box Office

Fans of Middle Earth ended their long wait and charged into North American multiplexes powering the new fantasy adventure The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey into the number one spot breaking the December opening weekend record in the process. Audiences around the world made the Peter Jackson film the most popular movie on the planet as no other studio dared to challenge Bilbo Baggins and his gang with any other new releases.

The Hobbit scored an estimated $84.8M in ticket sales this weekend accounting for about 60% of the marketplace. Warner Bros. opened the first chapter of this new trilogy in 4,045 total domestic theaters (also a new December record) and averaged a sensational $20,958 per location. The adventure tale was offered in many different viewing formats including 3D, IMAX, and High Frame Rate (HFR) as well as combinations of these formats. 3D was offered in 3,160 of the locations (6,500 total screens) while HFR was in 461 sites and 326 theaters had IMAX. 3D and IMAX screens had higher ticket prices which helped to boost the overall gross. Audiences were evenly split on paying extra for the additional dimension. 2D accounted for 51% of the gross while 49% was from the 3D screens.

A new December opening weekend record was set by Hobbit. The previous high was set five years ago this very weekend when Will Smith's I Am Legend bowed to $77.2M with no help from 3D. Avatar had the biggest December debut for a 3D film with $77M in 2009. Factoring in three years of ticket price increases, Hobbit's opening weekend audience size was roughly the same as Avatar's. Both were near-three-hour effects-driven 3D epics from Oscar-winning directors opening on a mid-December Friday.

The turnout for the new Gandalf flick was extremely front-loaded. Friday kicked off with $37.5M including a stunning $13M from Thursday night post-midnight shows. Saturday tumbled 25% to $28.2M while the studio is projecting a 32% drop on Sunday to $19.1M. The breakdown over the three-day period was very similar to the debut frame of The Hunger Games from last March which, like Hobbit, had a huge midnight start, did 44% of its weekend gross on Friday and had a 25% drop from Friday-to-Saturday. Both films also earned a solid A grade from CinemaScore. After its front-loaded start, Hunger went on to have strong legs topping the charts for four consecutive weeks. Hobbit has the Christmas and New Year's holidays still to come plus no competing event films are opening soon so its road ahead looks promising.

Males made up 57% of the audience and those over 25 were 58% of the crowd. IMAX venues grossed $10.1M accounting for a solid 12% of the weekend take. This was a brand that fans felt was worth paying extra for. Plus IMAX screenings offered a special preview featuring the first nine minutes of next summer's Star Trek Into Darkness from Paramount. Last December, it was Paramount's Mission: Impossible IMAX release which was coupled with the opening scenes of The Dark Knight Rises from Warner Bros. The studio did not have a breakdown for the HFR sales on Unexpected Journey.

The Hobbit invaded much of the world this weekend and opened to an excellent $138.2M from 56 international markets since its Wednesday launch in initial territories. That amounts to a worldwide opening of $223M with the holidays still to come. Also, major markets like Russia (December 19), Australia (December 26), and China (TBD) are still to open. 3D was more popular outside of North America where the screens accounted for 60% of the gross. Leading the way were the U.K. with $18.3M, Germany with $16.3M, France with $12.7M, and Korea with $8.5M.

Produced with MGM, the new Middle Earth trilogy will continue with The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug which bows this same week next year on December 13, 2013, followed by the final chapter The Hobbit: There and Back Again opening the following summer on July 18, 2014. Warner Bros. has slotted the final Hobbit into the key July frame that the studio found enormous success with in past years with its recent Dark Knight and Harry Potter films.

Slipping only 29% and rising into the second place slot was the animated adventure Rise of the Guardians with an estimated $7.4M. Paramount has grossed $71.4M to date and is hoping that strength over the coming Christmas holidays will get it into the century club. After securing seven Golden Globe nominations, the most for any film, Disney expanded the run of its historical drama Lincoln which placed third with an estimated $7.2M. Adding 271 locations, the Steven Spielberg hit dipped only 19% in its sixth round upping the cume to $107.9M. On Thursday, the presidential pic became the director's 15th $100M+ domestic grosser and the first for Daniel Day-Lewis who is currently seen as the front-runner to win the Best Actor Oscar.

The James Bond smash Skyfall followed in fourth with an estimated $7M, down 35%, for a total to date of $272.4M. Agent 007 collected an additional $12.2M overseas boosting the international gross to $678.7M and the global haul to a staggering $951M. It should break the $1 billion mark before the year is up.

Off 35% in its fourth round was the 3D epic Life of Pi with an estimated $5.4M giving Fox's Ang Lee film $69.6M to date. Pi earned three Golden Globe nominations including Best Picture - Drama and Best Director. This weekend saw an estimated $11.5M from a limited number of international markets for an overseas total of $129.4M led by China's humongous $84.3M. The worldwide figure stands at $199M. The vampire juggernaut The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 fell 44% to an estimated $5.2M pushing the cume to $276.9M. It is currently running $10.5M (4%) ahead of Part 1 from this time last year.

Hit toon Wreck-It Ralph slipped 33% to an estimated $3.3M giving Disney $168.8M to date. Close behind with an estimated $3.2M was the Gerard Butler flop Playing for Keeps which fell 44% in its second weekend. The FilmDistrict release has banked a puny $10.8M in ten days.

Grossing an estimated $2.4M was FilmDistrict stablemate Red Dawn which declined by 44% for a $40.9M cume to date. Rounding out the top ten was Silver Linings Playbook which jumped back onto the list thanks to its scant 4% dip to an estimated $2.1M despite having no extra screens added. The Weinstein Co. release scored four big Globe nods including Best Picture - Comedy or Musical and showed that while the awards may not have much prestige or industry respect, they do make an impact on general moviegoers and studio marketing campaigns and can drive extra ticket sales. Total is now $17M from 371 theaters with an expansion planned for Christmas.

The top ten films grossed an estimated $128M which was up 21% from last year when Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows opened at number one with $39.6M; and up 2% from 2010 when TRON: Legacy debuted in the top spot with $44M.

Comments

William J.

William Johnsten

Did anybody expect different?

Dec 16 - 05:09 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

Evil did not prevail.

Dec 16 - 05:42 PM

Logan L.

Logan Locke

What the hell is that supposed to mean?

Dec 16 - 05:55 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

It means some people will even take offense with Goodness.

Dec 16 - 06:16 PM

Logan L.

Logan Locke

Uh-huh. I take it that comment has to do with what happened yesterday when talking about The Hobbit, am I correct?

Dec 16 - 07:30 PM

Thom Stone

Thom Stone

^ what happened yesterday?

Dec 16 - 08:09 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I didn't log on yesterday. I was too busy appreciating the Goodness of The Hobbit.

Dec 16 - 08:17 PM

Bigbrother

Big Brother

Agree goodness, not greatness.

Dec 16 - 08:32 PM

Thom Stone

Thom Stone

what about the 'evil did not prevail' and 'it means some people will even take offense with goodness'? :P

Dec 16 - 08:38 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I dunno. Some people are baffled by evil not prevailing, I guess.

Dec 16 - 09:02 PM

infernaldude

Infernal Dude

I think they're baffled by an obvious inflammatory and poorly timed comment.

Dec 16 - 10:11 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I'm baffled by a lot of things, too, dude. Baffled how the Goodness of The Hobbit gets so complicated for some folks.

Dec 16 - 11:14 PM

infernaldude

Infernal Dude

Janson, I know you think we're stupid for not getting your joke but I know you're smart enough to know how your original post coupled with what happened Friday will lead people to think you are referencing said tragedy. In the end it doesn't matter but, man, it seems you are just trying to push peoples buttons and it BAFFLES me because I think your wit is better than that.

Dec 16 - 11:49 PM

Janson Jinnistan

Janson Jinnistan

I agree that I'm not trying very hard to be witty here. But I am sincerely celebrating that Jacksonian sense of triumph that he infuses in his fantasy. Walking out of the theater, especially after the bad vibes of the day (I almost got run over by a Ford truck using the sidewalk as a turning lane), I actually felt that Goodness will prevail. I don't feel any obligation to entertain whatever unrelated inferences anybody wants to take from that. If you think it's a reference to Sandy Creek, well not really - that evil is still very real. But only in a general sense of feeling confident in most people, and such punks as the Holmeses and Lanzas of the world cannot understand true triumph. That parts the clouds a bit.

Dec 16 - 11:50 PM

infernaldude

Infernal Dude

Word. If you genuinely weren't "going there" I believe you. You have to understand, however, that many could construe it that way. Glad you enjoyed the flick and weren't run over. (My work truck is a Ford and I sincerely apologize on behalf of all Ford owners) I'm going to see The Hobbit this week and am excited for another Jackson Middle Earth venture.

Dec 17 - 12:22 AM

Feli R.Y.

Feli Yang

go bilbo ! smash Cameron's Avatar !

Dec 16 - 06:21 PM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

aka DANCES WITH SMURFS

Dec 16 - 07:04 PM

Feli R.Y.

Feli Yang

If only it was the real title...

Dec 16 - 08:04 PM

Thom Stone

Thom Stone

it had a better opening weekend domestically, but i guarantee avatar will be above it in gross when the tuesday gross is in.

also, avatar opened bigger worldwide and had a bigger overseas gross. it finished with $2.782 billion, which is only $129.4 million less than the entire lotr trilogy made, at 2.912 billion (and will be MUCH larger than the hobbit).

avatar also has a higher critics rating (83% vs. 65%), higher average (7.4/10 vs. 6.5/10), higher top critics rating (93% vs. 42%), higher top critic average (7.5/10 vs. 6/10), and a higher audience rating (92% vs. 81%) with the same average of 4.2/5.

thing is, the lotr cost roughly $300 mil to produce, while avatar was much higher than that. so, i think they had a bigger profit with the lotr trilogy. but the hobbit won't 'smash' avatar, it's performing good in its own right.

Dec 16 - 08:36 PM

Thom Stone

Thom Stone

oops. this was supposed to be a reply to feli... and it wasn't supposed to be filled with so many... dickish vibes.

Dec 17 - 01:29 AM

King  S.

King Simba

Actaully, Avatar's budget was 238 mil. Those 500 mil rumors were just figures thrown around by the media to make it look like it was going to be a massive bomb (though after that 2.7 bil gross, it didn't matter what figure anyone tried to throw, it was still a massive success).

Dec 17 - 02:13 AM

Logan L.

Logan Locke

King Samba: True, it's budget was reportedly $238 million. However, you have to remember that marketing is also to be accounted for. They spent about $250 million on marketing alone. If it had not grossed the amount it did it would have bombed.

Dec 17 - 06:29 AM

Bigbrother

Big Brother

I never remember that much marketing for Avatar. In fact I remember it being discussed beforehand how no one was talking about it besides us movie geeks.

Dec 17 - 06:50 PM

Feli R.Y.

Feli Yang

(sry for the late reply)
If truth be told, my comment was just meant to show my admiration for Peter Jackson's Middle Earth movies and disapproval of Cameron's Avatar. Nothing more, nothing less.
I appreciate your analysis though, very enlightening.

Dec 19 - 03:35 PM

King  S.

King Simba

Actually, it's kind of dissapointing that it only sold roughly the same amount of tickets as Avatar. I mean Avatar was an original film with no source material to rely on. Few people were even aware of the film until the teaser trailer was released a mere four months before the film's debut and it was such a weak teaser that for a while a lot of people thought Cameron was setting himself up for a massive bomb.

The Hobbit, on the other hand, is a prequel to what many consider the greatest trilogy of all time with almost a decade to build up hype. It's also based on a novel that sold more than 100 million copies (aka, almost as much as the entire Twilight series combined). Granted, that opening weekend is still pretty good and it'll certainly bring in the dough for the studio, but one would expect more. Maybe people were taking a wait and see approach due to the decision to split the book into three films. Audience reception has been pretty good, so I think it'll hold well in the coming weekend, though it certainly won't come close to Avatar. Heck I can't see it outgrossing Hunger Games domestically, something no one could have seen coming at the start of the year (though WW it'll be a completely different story).

Dec 17 - 02:11 AM

Logan L.

Logan Locke

"Orginal" is kind of a strong word to describe Avatar. It's setting and the alien species are, but it's story, themes, and characters are not. Does that make it a bad movie? No. I felt it entertaining, yet unremarkable. The film made the money it did through 3D showings. I remember going on it's second weekend in a regular 2D showing, and there were only 10 other people there! The rest were seeing it in 3D.

With this, I agree. The Hobbit will probably hit(in my opinion)$325 million. Reviews have been great from audiences, but I don't think it will have the same legs as what The Return of The King had.

Dec 17 - 06:45 AM

King  S.

King Simba

By original, I simply meant that it didn't have any source material to rely on.

Dec 17 - 01:21 PM

Bigbrother

Big Brother

It made it's money by being remarkable visually I think. You're right the plot was nothing to write home about, but it was just amazing to watch in an IMAX 3D theater.

Dec 17 - 06:51 PM

Logan L.

Logan Locke

I knew what you meant. Just was putting my two cents in.

Dec 17 - 02:28 PM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

I agree, it now seems highly unlikely that "The Hobbit" will outgross "The Hunger Games" domestically, and of course internationally it will make much more money. People have to remember that making 400 million domestic is very difficult to, sure "The Avengers" made it look as easy as 123 and "TDKR" & "The Hunger Games" had no problem hiiting that mark. Only 15 films have reached this plateau and 3 films did it in 2012 which was the first time that's ever happened in one year. "The Hobbit" will make money and be one of the bigger hits of the year when it's said and done, i think expectations we're just way too high on the film.

Dec 19 - 12:04 AM

Daniel Morris

Daniel Morris

I'm just enjoying reading off the names of all these pretty great movies that've come out in the last 5 years.

Dec 16 - 06:28 PM

Jaxx Raxor

Adam Jones

How come Hobbit didn't top $100 million? I thought it would have considering the fanbase the LOTR franchise has despite the lower than expected reviews? Or am I just overestimated how much people will come to see a movie in the middle of the December compared to like say July?

Dec 16 - 06:59 PM

Keri Ward

Keri Ward

It would have been higher had it not premiered at the end of exam week. I know many more college students who would have attended the premiere with me had they not had an 8am exam on Friday. (I said screw grades! I'm going to see The Hobbit!)

Dec 16 - 11:12 PM

Michael Kamal

Michael Kamal

Just like what happened to me !!

Dec 17 - 08:34 AM

Christopher Kulik

Christopher Kulik

Wait a minute: am I really the only one shocked that the THE HOBBIT's 84.8M opening didn't quite top 88.3M opening for SKYFALL? Wow, I swear I did not see that coming, thought THE HOBBIT was going to do much better. Billion-Dollar BOND!!!

Dec 16 - 07:02 PM

Francesco F.

Francesco Fortuna

No you're not the only one. I was shocked too, I thought it would at least open with 90 million+. The last Lord Of The Rings movie opened with 77M which would be like 94M today, so I was going by that. I'm guessing the reviews had something to do with it, only a 65% compared to 96% from the last movie, ouch.

Dec 16 - 08:23 PM

King  S.

King Simba

Not to mention Return of the King opened on a wensday, thereby burning off demand before the weekend. Had it opened on a Friday it would still be holding the december opening weekend record despite nearly ten years of inflation and 3d-ticket prices to help Hobbit.

Dec 17 - 01:45 AM

Andrew Brinkerhoff

Andrew Brinkerhoff

I saw Life of Pi last week; very impressive, I felt like I was right there in the lifeboat. I actually was still in awe a while after I left the theater. Also, since my step mom had an extra ticket for her group, I was convinced to see Twilight with them (this was right after seeing Pi); not all that great, but it was a very quick two hours nonetheless.

Dec 16 - 07:14 PM

Matthew R.

Matthew Reimer

I feel great for The Hobbit! I enjoyed the movie a lot!

Dec 16 - 08:08 PM

Joseph Carranza

Joseph Carranza

lol i just got back from watching the hobbit. truly truly amazing. i was afraid it was not going to rise up because rotten tomatoes gave it only a 65%? but then i saw the audience liked it like 85% , so when i went i was emersed ! it took me about 30 minutes to get into the groove of middle earth again but man, this one was scarier, better graphics, and above all else, the main character bilbo has a little bit more depth than frodo, but that makes sense, because usually the hero who dies at the end is not too deep, hes just someone you can look up to, like frodo, who has to sail away in the end... anyways, it was very good! cant wait for the next :D

Dec 16 - 09:34 PM

Keri Ward

Keri Ward

Have you read the book? It's even better than the film!

Dec 16 - 11:14 PM

Movie Monster

Bentley Lyles

The Hobbit was an entertaining film. I saw it in 3D (which was worth it) on opening night. I can't wait for The Desolation of Smaug. I'm super happy at Skyfall's sucess. Hope it reaches the billion dollar mark soon. I wouldlove to see Skyfall still in the top 5 around Christmas but that probably won't happen due to all the new movies coming out in the next two weeks. I still need to catch Lincoln and Life of Pi and plan to see Les Miserables as well.

Dec 16 - 09:47 PM

Onion Rovirosa

Onion Rovirosa

I just figured out how ground breaking Phantom Menace was and his influence in the past 15 years. I wonder if the Hobbit will do the same.

Dec 16 - 10:41 PM

Alberto Zeeky

Alberto Zeeky

Did anyone expect Hobbit to perform better? I figured a 100+ debut, but I can't recall the previous openings of the LOTR trilogy so maybe this is a good performance?

Dec 17 - 01:04 AM

Pratik Kulkarni

Pratik Kulkarni

amazing movie

Dec 17 - 06:38 AM

Solun

Michal Kolman

If I had to wish some director these earnings, it is P.J.

Dec 17 - 10:59 AM

Dave J

Dave J

I'm planning on watching "The hobbit" after it's on it's 3rd week so that way I don't have to worry about viewers getting up and using the restrooms!

Dec 17 - 12:21 PM

zinc alloy

zinc alloy

this is not a good weekend for the Hobbit...they were looking for a 120 million take and got around 80....do the math

Dec 17 - 02:15 PM

Fred Brooks

Fred Brooks

Yeah i kinda got sucked in to the hype and thought at one time "The Hobbit" would have no problem reaching 100 million it's opening weekend, but in the back of my mind i was still a little leary of it reaching that number. During Friday afternoon it was still on pace to reach 113 + mil it's opening weekend, but as the evening went on and the rest of the weeknd it's pace dropped pretty briskly.

Dec 19 - 12:18 AM

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